\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Have US elections experts explained Biden losing all Bellwether counties yet?

And still winning the election?
Vivacious police squad
  01/27/22
https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1788996823786615129 ...
bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo
  05/11/24
Wasn't there tons of ballot harvesting and at home voting? B...
Excitant set
  05/11/24
Most of these counties don’t have “urban poor.&r...
cracking native
  05/11/24
yes, Trump was an historically shitty candidate and everyone...
mahogany home
  05/11/24
This doesn’t explain the bellwether counties you idiot...
cracking native
  05/11/24
There’s been lots of analysis on it. Give it a read! ...
geriatric parlour
  05/11/24
Nobody wants to touch stolen election shenanigans with a 100...
cracking native
  05/11/24
yes, it does. Trump’s polling v Biden was atrocious fo...
mahogany home
  05/11/24
They “mattered” in 1984, 1988, 1996 when the Los...
cracking native
  05/11/24
Voters are uniquely disgusted by Trump though. only his cult...
mahogany home
  05/11/24
that statement couldn't be more incorrect. bellwethers are b...
bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo
  05/11/24
black voter turnout is not normally as high as it was though...
mahogany home
  05/11/24
you and i are now circling back the same point: industrial h...
bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo
  05/11/24
Chill with the antisemitism. This isn't a karlstack website ...
kink-friendly church building
  05/11/24
“harvesting” is just a racist code word that mea...
mahogany home
  05/11/24
Yeah sure. I remember reading about poor disenfranchised bla...
kink-friendly church building
  05/11/24
If it was as simple as “harvesting ballots” you ...
mahogany home
  05/11/24
yeah they dumped tens of thousands of Biden "ballots&qu...
Free-loading church coffee pot
  05/11/24
...
cracking native
  05/11/24
...
bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo
  05/11/24
...
kink-friendly church building
  05/11/24
...
bronze pea-brained degenerate
  05/11/24
bellweathers change
Indigo Awkward Temple Jew
  05/11/24
?
swollen cowardly new version den
  05/11/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 27th, 2022 10:51 AM
Author: Vivacious police squad

And still winning the election?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#43855744)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 10:59 AM
Author: bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo

https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1788996823786615129

i've saved this analysis because i expect the bellwethers to return to normal by 2028. not sure about 2024 because election gaming seems to still be rampant.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653335)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:01 AM
Author: Excitant set

Wasn't there tons of ballot harvesting and at home voting? Both are legal, both mobilize massive numbers of urban poor who might otherwise not vote.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653338)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:03 AM
Author: cracking native

Most of these counties don’t have “urban poor.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653344)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:06 AM
Author: mahogany home

yes, Trump was an historically shitty candidate and everyone knew it. republicans nominated him anyway and the rest is history.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653347)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:08 AM
Author: cracking native

This doesn’t explain the bellwether counties you idiot. You suck at political science

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653348)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:09 AM
Author: geriatric parlour

There’s been lots of analysis on it. Give it a read!

Did cons ever explain why every single “audit” revealed jack shit? Do you guys even remember the cyber ninjas? 😉

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653351)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:11 AM
Author: cracking native

Nobody wants to touch stolen election shenanigans with a 1000 ft pole. It’s like using nuclear weapons or something. But most of it was just the mail-in voting thing imo.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653355)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:10 AM
Author: mahogany home

yes, it does. Trump’s polling v Biden was atrocious for three years:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/trump-vs-biden

never has a party nominated such a terrible candidate. things like “bellwethers” only matter when the candidates are of similar strength



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653354)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:13 AM
Author: cracking native

They “mattered” in 1984, 1988, 1996 when the Losing candidate got destroyed.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653358)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:13 AM
Author: mahogany home

Voters are uniquely disgusted by Trump though. only his cult members like him

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653359)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:14 AM
Author: bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo

that statement couldn't be more incorrect. bellwethers are bellwethers because they predict in close contests and routs alike.

if your claims about Trump were true, Biden would have won the bellwethers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653362)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:15 AM
Author: mahogany home

black voter turnout is not normally as high as it was though. mail in voting meant more eligible blacks voted than ever before so you can’t compare to elections where blacks didn’t vote as much

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653364)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:23 AM
Author: bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo

you and i are now circling back the same point: industrial harvesting of ballots in a few urban centers was the difference. most of it was illegal and none of it aligned with voter interest. the consent of the governed is now missing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653379)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:24 AM
Author: kink-friendly church building

Chill with the antisemitism. This isn't a karlstack website (he hates and fellates Jews).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653383)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:26 AM
Author: mahogany home

“harvesting” is just a racist code word that means “blacks voting”

you guys hate it when blacks vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653392)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:32 AM
Author: kink-friendly church building

Yeah sure. I remember reading about poor disenfranchised black women and nyslimes buried the fact black women with out a college degree vote at twice the rate of white men without a college degree. Where is the get out the white vote initiatives? Is Soros funding that? I only vote in local elections. Also voted for Obama in 08. Haven't done a national election since then. Black women are your consistency and have probably an 80 IQ. Lol and they voted for pedo Biden like slaves.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653396)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:37 AM
Author: mahogany home

If it was as simple as “harvesting ballots” you guys would have been harvesting trailer parks for years but you don’t because you know that’s not the reason you lose

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653408)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:10 AM
Author: Free-loading church coffee pot

yeah they dumped tens of thousands of Biden "ballots" at 3am and he "won"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653353)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:12 AM
Author: cracking native



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653356)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:14 AM
Author: bonkers twinkling lodge tattoo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653363)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:17 AM
Author: kink-friendly church building



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653368)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:47 AM
Author: bronze pea-brained degenerate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653422)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:25 AM
Author: Indigo Awkward Temple Jew

bellweathers change

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653385)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 11th, 2024 11:26 AM
Author: swollen cowardly new version den

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5017737&forum_id=2#47653390)