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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
heady station
  10/05/26
...
low-t hall keepsake machete
  10/05/26
...
Opaque cracking fortuitous meteor boistinker
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
tantric diverse son of senegal plaza
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
Self-centered Khaki Dog Poop
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth
  10/05/26
...
Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
Odious doctorate
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
heady station
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
Odious doctorate
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
heady station
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
Greedy drab resort pisswyrm
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
Odious doctorate
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
cobalt arousing giraffe
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Greedy drab resort pisswyrm
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
Ungodly Coldplay Fan Public Bath
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
racy misanthropic indian lodge
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: heady station

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: low-t hall keepsake machete



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: Opaque cracking fortuitous meteor boistinker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: tantric diverse son of senegal plaza

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: Self-centered Khaki Dog Poop

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Mentally impaired slippery ticket booth

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: heady station

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: heady station

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: Greedy drab resort pisswyrm

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: Odious doctorate

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: cobalt arousing giraffe

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: Greedy drab resort pisswyrm

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: Ungodly Coldplay Fan Public Bath

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: racy misanthropic indian lodge

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)