Kamala team hates him and would have the dood assassinated if they could. So a Trump win is necessary for his survival, but still not sufficient. In order to have any pull with Trump, he needs to actually help Trump get elected. He has to prove that he's effective. If Trump's numbers rise for reasons that have nothing to do with Thiel, Trump has no reason to bail out Thiel when he takes office. In the meantime Trump is telling people RFK is screening the folks who come near him, and RFK has a pretty good Thiel detector after 3 years of swimming in that soup.