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The State of the Bond Market. I Have Deployed an Extraordinary Amount of Capital

https://www.reddit.com/r/leanfire/comments/1xmcjsp/the_state...
cowgod
  11/02/26
anyway paid off trailer tp
Daft Unc
  11/02/26
they know you so well "This reads like a 2008-era fo...
hex
  11/02/26
Have you heard of inflation champ
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
The Yield Im getting handily exceeds Inflation.
cowgod
  11/02/26
You're spending your entire yield genius
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
bonds offer a Reliable Reprieve
Adult Friendship Finder
  11/02/26
Assuming yields remain constant hes losing 3.5% of his purch...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
what is this, an Econometrics Conference?
Adult Friendship Finder
  11/02/26
He goes broke in 29 years assuming his incredibly tenuous si...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
I am in year 5 champ. Fired from Curation in 2021. Actually ...
cowgod
  11/02/26
I never said you weren't. I'm explaining how many ...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
My Principal has Grown, and the worst of inflation was at th...
cowgod
  11/02/26
288,000 five years ago would be worth approximately $342,100...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
AI is Deflationary and no one will have a Job soon imho
cowgod
  11/02/26
Holy shit cope lmao
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
btw, in 2043, COLA-adjusted Social Security enters the equat...
cowgod
  11/02/26
Let's see your ss calculation bud. How many years out o...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
I just wait for those statements that come every decade idk
cowgod
  11/02/26
If your 42 or whatever and you worked between 20 and 37 maki...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
I made $40,000k at my Peak in Curation.
cowgod
  11/02/26
40k for 15 years is Claiming age Monthly benefit 62 $830...
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
In today's dollars afaict.
cowgod
  11/02/26
Yeah
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
My monthly surplus has Grown to $110.75, champ. All to be Re...
cowgod
  11/02/26
Do you think 1200 is 3.5% of 280k?
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
3.5% is a number you pulled out of your ass. Inflation expec...
cowgod
  11/02/26
You're down over 50k so far champ lmao
M. I. Gay
  11/02/26
I don't need money when Im Dead imo. Enjoy the ignominy...
cowgod
  11/02/26
it's very tempting but it's still historically jus...
UhOh
  11/02/26
Extraordinary Amount of Capital tp
law is ea$y
  11/02/26
protip: a financial advisor can help u diversify your holdin...
Brussels Sprout (Apropos of the Wet Snow)
  11/02/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 6:23 PM
Author: cowgod

https://www.reddit.com/r/leanfire/comments/1xmcjsp/the_state_of_the_bond_market_i_have_deployed_an/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223662)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 6:27 PM
Author: Daft Unc

anyway paid off trailer tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223672)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 6:29 PM
Author: hex

they know you so well

"This reads like a 2008-era forum post from someone who really wants you to know they understand bond convexity. The energy is halfway between a quarterly earnings call and a video game collector flex."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223675)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 6:38 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

Have you heard of inflation champ

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223689)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 6:55 PM
Author: cowgod

The Yield Im getting handily exceeds Inflation.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223733)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:08 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

You're spending your entire yield genius

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223784)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:10 PM
Author: Adult Friendship Finder

bonds offer a Reliable Reprieve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223795)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:11 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

Assuming yields remain constant hes losing 3.5% of his purchasing power annually

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223805)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:11 PM
Author: Adult Friendship Finder

what is this, an Econometrics Conference?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223809)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:15 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

He goes broke in 29 years assuming his incredibly tenuous situation holds for 3 decades

He taps into principal at year 5

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223825)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:25 PM
Author: cowgod

I am in year 5 champ. Fired from Curation in 2021. Actually I'm at the early stages of year 6, champ.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223869)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:26 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

I never said you weren't. I'm explaining how many years you have from this year forward.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223876)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:28 PM
Author: cowgod

My Principal has Grown, and the worst of inflation was at the worst possible time, at the start of my Retirement in 2021-2023.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223880)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:29 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

288,000 five years ago would be worth approximately $342,100 in today's dollars.

You've lost 54k so far lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223885)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:29 PM
Author: cowgod

AI is Deflationary and no one will have a Job soon imho

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223886)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:30 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

Holy shit cope lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223888)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:31 PM
Author: cowgod

btw, in 2043, COLA-adjusted Social Security enters the equation. Under these assumptions, the principal survives. Your insolvency forecast compounds my expenses while conveniently forgetting my Income.

My SS will be guaranteed btw whereas Gen X will have to take theirs later starting in 2033.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223890)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:32 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

Let's see your ss calculation bud. How many years out of 35 have you worked

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223893)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:33 PM
Author: cowgod

I just wait for those statements that come every decade idk

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223900)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:35 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

If your 42 or whatever and you worked between 20 and 37 making 50k per annum annually your ss check monthly will be $1900 if you start taking it at 70 so you could make it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223909)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:38 PM
Author: cowgod

I made $40,000k at my Peak in Curation.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223924)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:39 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

40k for 15 years is

Claiming age Monthly benefit

62 $830

67 $1,190

70 $1,475

That's age you start taking it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223927)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:43 PM
Author: cowgod

In today's dollars afaict.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223939)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:45 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

Yeah

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223943)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:12 PM
Author: cowgod

My monthly surplus has Grown to $110.75, champ. All to be Reinvested in new Tranches.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223810)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:12 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

Do you think 1200 is 3.5% of 280k?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223814)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:28 PM
Author: cowgod

3.5% is a number you pulled out of your ass. Inflation expectations are Priced into Treasuries.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223883)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:30 PM
Author: M. I. Gay

You're down over 50k so far champ lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223889)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:33 PM
Author: cowgod

I don't need money when Im Dead imo. Enjoy the ignominy of working and not making Games, champ.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223897)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:12 PM
Author: UhOh

it's very tempting but it's still historically just average, and where is the relief coming? trump is going to war and tariff us into oblivion, then the dems are going to win and give away trillions again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223811)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:27 PM
Author: law is ea$y (🧐)

Extraordinary Amount of Capital tp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223877)



Reply

Date: November 2nd, 2026 7:30 PM
Author: Brussels Sprout (Apropos of the Wet Snow)

protip: a financial advisor can help u diversify your holdings to include higher risk, but substantially higher rewards in stock equities and other assets

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5917535&forum_id=2#50223887)