A lot of the uncritical praise for AI is infected by Gell-Mann amnesia
| the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) | 04/22/25 | | metaphysical fallow | 04/22/25 | | low effort lowercase moniker | 04/22/25 | | metaphysical fallow | 04/22/25 | | low effort lowercase moniker | 04/22/25 | | Oh, You Travel? | 04/22/25 | | the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) | 04/22/25 |
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Date: April 22nd, 2025 7:01 PM Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)
Author and Harvard Medical School grad Michael Crichton described Gell-Mann amnesia as when you happen to read a news story about a topic where you have real expertise, and "[y]ou read the article and see the journalist has absolutely no understanding of either the facts or the issues. Often, the article is so wrong it actually presents the story backward—reversing cause and effect. I call these the 'wet streets cause rain' stories. Paper's full of them. In any case, you read with exasperation or amusement the multiple errors in a story, and then turn the page to national or international affairs, and read as if the rest of the newspaper was somehow more accurate about Palestine than the baloney you just read. You turn the page, and forget what you know. That is the Gell-Mann Amnesia effect."
Crichton was talking about the news media, but the same thing's true of AI. Try to have a conversation or ask probing questions of ChatGPT Pro on areas where you have pre-existing expertise and/or already know the answers, and you'll immediately see that its rife with errors, oversimplifications, and failures to draw inferences that would be relevant to your prompt.
But it's fucking great at giving you primers on shit you don't know much about -- frankly equivalent to new attorneys (and superior to TTTT summer associates) who often get that exact kind of task, in .01% of the time.
Obviously AI is still useful -- just like the media, as an institution, is useful to society and helps me know about shit that I wouldn't otherwise know about -- but it does make me wonder how much overconfident horseshit is lurking in its seemingly 180^180 memos on supersedeas-bond mechanics, how to find/buy a patek philippe perpetual calendar, and how to tweak my daily supplement stack and workout routine.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5714813&forum_id=2#48872145) |
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