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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
Passionate trust fund
  10/05/26
...
Galvanic stage hominid
  10/05/26
...
Histrionic stead cuckoldry
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
Cracking chrome brunch
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
burgundy indian lodge tank
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction
  10/05/26
...
Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
Passionate trust fund
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
Passionate trust fund
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
Pearl big station
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
Mustard Spot Milk
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Out-of-control knife stock car
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Pearl big station
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
silver location twinkling uncleanness
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
cyan pit
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Passionate trust fund

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: Galvanic stage hominid



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: Histrionic stead cuckoldry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: Cracking chrome brunch

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: burgundy indian lodge tank

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Gay sickened sex offender dysfunction

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: Passionate trust fund

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: Passionate trust fund

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: Pearl big station

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: Mustard Spot Milk

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Out-of-control knife stock car

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: Pearl big station

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: silver location twinkling uncleanness

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: cyan pit

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)