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Mail-in ballot data so far not looking so hot for dems

This is actual 2026 voting data btw, not a NYT/Siena/Gallup ...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Wisconsin dems look like they’re sitting this one out ...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Uh oh! https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2107542656679113...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Iowa is going to be a repeat of “Selzer” in 2024...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Lmao we’re in our last few years where our dicks work ...
racy space
  10/06/26
If I have anything to say about it I am never having “...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
I’m married with kids and having a midlife crisis.
racy space
  10/06/26
Get TT6 to sort you out
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
r we talking gay sex or a discussion?
Useless stimulating striped hyena
  10/07/26
...
Emerald Bespoke Lodge Feces
  10/06/26
left media is quoting Trump saying Republicans are gonna &qu...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
We URGE you to elect an Egyptian citizen to the U.S. Senate!...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
who cares lol. Rogers might as well be a dual citizen of Isr...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
🥴🥴🥴
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Great news for... Israel
Useless stimulating striped hyena
  10/06/26
No one cares about this
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Thats the problem with Americans. They are too dumb to stick...
Useless stimulating striped hyena
  10/06/26
But a "prediction market" correctly aggregates MUL...
flirting clown
  10/06/26
Guess they haven’t updated their “algo” wi...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Polls are only accurate when it's good news for My Side!
aquamarine vibrant pit idea he suggested
  10/06/26
Cope harder lib
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Can’t imagine being such a fag you’re rooting fo...
shimmering mind-boggling rehab
  10/06/26
genocide vs. genocide with a slight, apologetic grimace
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
Democrats = communism. GOP has problems but nothing that ...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
actually normal people all across the political spectrum fee...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
What are you doing for income these days, box?
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
i'm on unemployment ($450/wk), still trying to find a job, h...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
Well good luck with everything
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
ty. i have almost half a million in retirement accounts that...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
Sorry about the mattress. Was it an assault by that JD Vanc...
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
lol cq
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
The "Democrats = Communism" and "Republicans ...
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
I’m not sure if anyone has told you this today but you...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
You're either deep into method acting or it's the former, an...
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
*passes law in Florida u can’t be mean to me* *pass...
shimmering mind-boggling rehab
  10/06/26
Shhh! You're not supposed to notice!
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
the israel obsession out of nowhere is even gayer and more f...
Crusty bat-shit-crazy hospital
  10/06/26
You're right. One has nearly bankrupted us, corrupted our de...
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
cr This board is a remote little island of angry midwit w...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
*Guy who actually thinks he's smart despite all the evidence...
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
My man you are losing your shit ITT, calm down it’s ju...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
You're right. Maybe I should blame the board. If only this p...
Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration
  10/06/26
...
brass field bbw
  10/06/26
Cr my bros and I (all 6'4+) were just talking about how 180 ...
aqua parlor knife
  10/06/26
Spend less time online
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
We gotta make sure the GOP wins so they can *checks notes* o...
World's Most Powerful Reset!!!
  10/11/26
bumping this for election night.
laughsome ticket booth goyim
  10/06/26
You do you tough guy. It’s going to be really fun ...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Just like these gems: https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thre...
laughsome ticket booth goyim
  10/06/26
Non-responsive. Also gay.
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
On Election night, I will find you and FUCK YOU until you lo...
laughsome ticket booth goyim
  10/07/26
You forgot to quote the clincher
Fucking Fuckface
  10/09/26
ChatGPT pay version: Is the early midterms voting data mo...
Multi-colored jap
  10/06/26
Also, 2022 is a horrible comparator, because the pandemic wa...
Multi-colored jap
  10/06/26
not to mention that was still when Trump was openly shitting...
Adventurous church building dragon
  10/07/26
Thanks for bringing gay TDS jew Sam Altman’s perspecti...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Well, let's ask MAGA Grok then (not gonna waste my mental en...
Multi-colored jap
  10/06/26
Ok, so nothing?
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
...
Adventurous church building dragon
  10/07/26
Ohio early voting is underway… looking like mostly MA...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Turnout way down in Cleveland? That’s a problem! 😱ð...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
2024 was a potus year. Comparing to 2022 and/or 2018 would b...
Crusty bat-shit-crazy hospital
  10/07/26
So the Israeli party is beating the Israeli party. csb
Useless stimulating striped hyena
  10/06/26
...
Appetizing Gay Wizard Therapy
  10/06/26
Anyone seen a “blue wave” around? Anyone? htt...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Even prominent online libs are realizing with horror the pol...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
polls have always been bullshit dumbass
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
Tell it to all the overconfident libs, not me!
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
in 2024 i started reading the methodology sections and they ...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/06/26
...
Appetizing Gay Wizard Therapy
  10/07/26
unskew
Sooty Alcoholic Antidepressant Drug
  10/06/26
Read thread title
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
Miami turnout down about 30% https://x.com/toneroushyus/s...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/06/26
This disinformation might hit harder if any libs were still ...
Irate heaven gaping
  10/07/26
DITHINFORMATION
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/07/26
If you have another word for Benny Johnson (besides pedo) fe...
Irate heaven gaping
  10/07/26
Looking like Obama won’t be able to save that 5’...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/07/26
Dem party whose highest priority is appeasing the Jewish sup...
SickoMode
  10/11/26
Dems probably should have tried to register more voters in b...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/07/26
uh oh spaghetti o
brass field bbw
  10/07/26
Really though this is because of the 3MM+ deportations Trump...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/07/26
Oh no the voter registration numbers!! That’s the ...
Irate heaven gaping
  10/07/26
...
canary floppy gas station roommate
  10/08/26
Talarico has apparently been in a looney bin for the last we...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/08/26
Maybe if dems hire more illegals to work the campaigns they ...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/08/26
This one is really bad libs. Make sure your buttplugs are in...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/08/26
Dems got one OK day of early voting turnout and then it tank...
Bateful Trust Fund
  10/08/26
Dems are giving up on Ohio. I don’t like Vivek but it ...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
You need to bump this thread about 400 more times if you wan...
''''"'''""'""
  10/09/26
Thanks for the bump.
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
Paul LePage, among others, is a lock to flip a blue house se...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
Ohio is a real shithole that deserves nothing but the worst,...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/09/26
Dem turnout fell off a cliff today https://x.com/justr_02...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
That’s a Trump +44% county homie
''''"'''""'""
  10/09/26
Is Cuyahoga Trump +44? https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
What will Georgia libs do now that they can’t cheat as...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
Georgians voting is cheating?
''''"'''""'""
  10/09/26
Did Fani Willis tell you to think that?
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
Gosh I hope the DNC wasn’t counting on any pickups in ...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
wow this election data guy site sounds accurate. hey by the ...
.,..,,.,.,.,.,.,..,.,.,..,..,
  10/11/26
ruh roh https://x.com/macfarlanenews/status/2108660019029...
''''"'''""'""
  10/09/26
I concede dems will probably overperform in Virginia from al...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
Terrible news for Democrats https://x.com/randyheyyyy/sta...
''''"'''""'""
  10/09/26
Tommy pls respond
"'''""'"""'"
  10/09/26
(retard)
Israeli-American professor of Holocaust and genoci
  10/11/26
No real Republican is voting for that scamjeet
'"'''"'''""""
  10/11/26
The democrat hedging and fear is breaking containment https:...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/13/26
Game over for Mohamed Muslim Brotherhood el-Sayed https:/...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/13/26
Pro-Cornyn GOP whale donor in Houston finally grows a pair a...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/13/26
Does noted Smart Chick The Box tp still think Florida is in ...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/13/26
Veddy bad generic ballot trend for dems. https://x.com/ban...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/13/26
Libs is it “good” for your “blue wave&rdqu...
"'''""'"""'"
  10/13/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:10 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

This is actual 2026 voting data btw, not a NYT/Siena/Gallup wishcast or some bullshit a “Kalshi” pajeet dreamed up on orders from USAID

https://x.com/taftermath2020/status/2107505880665387489?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174210)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:21 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Wisconsin dems look like they’re sitting this one out

https://x.com/jrrosswrites/status/2107475203534250310?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174232)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:00 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Uh oh!

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2107542656679113097?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174556)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:02 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Iowa is going to be a repeat of “Selzer” in 2024, even perennial lib flack “Ryan Grim” sees it coming

https://x.com/ryangrim/status/2107498792723636365?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174563)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:04 PM
Author: racy space

Lmao we’re in our last few years where our dicks work and this is what you incels care about?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174567)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:20 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

If I have anything to say about it I am never having “sex” again, lmao at wasting resources on rancid 2026 slimepits under any circumstances

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174599)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:50 PM
Author: racy space

I’m married with kids and having a midlife crisis.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174662)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:03 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

Get TT6 to sort you out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174691)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 11:11 AM
Author: Useless stimulating striped hyena

r we talking gay sex or a discussion?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176042)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:39 PM
Author: Emerald Bespoke Lodge Feces



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174644)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

left media is quoting Trump saying Republicans are gonna "cheat like hell like [Democrats] do" at the midterm convention and urging people to vote in person

https://youtu.be/JHBRMyx_xHs?t=10

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174603)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:27 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

We URGE you to elect an Egyptian citizen to the U.S. Senate!

https://x.com/leadingreport/status/2107508695257034941?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174615)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:30 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

who cares lol. Rogers might as well be a dual citizen of Israel. i'm an independent, not a Dem, and El-Sayed is clearly the better candidate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174619)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:32 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

🥴🥴🥴

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174625)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: Useless stimulating striped hyena

Great news for... Israel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174605)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:28 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

No one cares about this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174616)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:07 PM
Author: Useless stimulating striped hyena

Thats the problem with Americans. They are too dumb to stick to a topic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174698)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: flirting clown

But a "prediction market" correctly aggregates MULTIPLE relevant polls.....!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174606)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:31 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Guess they haven’t updated their “algo” with this one yet

https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/2107165960671252897?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174621)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:35 PM
Author: aquamarine vibrant pit idea he suggested

Polls are only accurate when it's good news for My Side!



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174637)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:37 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Cope harder lib

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174641)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:38 PM
Author: shimmering mind-boggling rehab

Can’t imagine being such a fag you’re rooting for one side of Israelis over the other

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174643)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:41 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

genocide vs. genocide with a slight, apologetic grimace

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174645)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:41 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Democrats = communism.

GOP has problems but nothing that comes close to the absolute destruction of America democommies are openly guaranteeing.

That’s all there is to it. Your “Israel” obesession is somewhere between boring and retarded at this point, and no one is listening to you.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174646)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

actually normal people all across the political spectrum feel this way, you're the weird one

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174647)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

What are you doing for income these days, box?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174648)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:46 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

i'm on unemployment ($450/wk), still trying to find a job, have a few prospects in the works rn. probably gonna take a pay cut compared to my last job; i'm applying to anything over $150k whereas i was in the 180s before. but now that i'm cooking 90% of my meals instead of ordering 90% on the delivery apps, i'm pretty confident $150k will be fine.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174652)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:49 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Well good luck with everything

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174655)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:51 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

ty. i have almost half a million in retirement accounts that i can withdraw from at massive penalty if i don't find anything in the next few months and run out of money. my 12yo mattress just got fucked and i just had an unexpected $900 expense buying a new one so that day may come sooner than i thought

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174663)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

Sorry about the mattress. Was it an assault by that JD Vance character?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174671)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:06 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

lol cq

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174693)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:53 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

The "Democrats = Communism" and "Republicans = Freedom's Last Stand" shit makes me think you're a caricature. I know it's a faux pas to ask, but is this IRL or just schtick?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174666)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:12 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

I’m not sure if anyone has told you this today but you are extremely dumb.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174705)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:14 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

You're either deep into method acting or it's the former, and since you don't strike me in any way as talented or insightful, it looks like we've got an answer

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174708)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:50 PM
Author: shimmering mind-boggling rehab

*passes law in Florida u can’t be mean to me*

*passes senate vote not to investigate deaths of Americans at hands of israelis*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174661)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

Shhh! You're not supposed to notice!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174672)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: Crusty bat-shit-crazy hospital

the israel obsession out of nowhere is even gayer and more forced than the Ukraine shit. At least with Ukraine they’re fucking up Russia even if it is a retarded waste of money and human life that we should never gotten involved with.

Iran stuff you see libs openly rooting against America and for our enemies.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174669)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:56 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

You're right. One has nearly bankrupted us, corrupted our democracy, destroyed our social cohesion, and made us into global villains. The other was dumb enough to give up their nukes and rely on promises of protection

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174674)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:13 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

cr

This board is a remote little island of angry midwit weirdos now, very little correspondence to IRL. Big difference from say 2016 when we were plugged tf in to what was coming.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174707)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:20 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

*Guy who actually thinks he's smart despite all the evidence to the contrary and just doesn't understand why more people can't see it*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174717)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:21 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

My man you are losing your shit ITT, calm down it’s just online

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174718)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:24 PM
Author: Curious at-the-ready really tough guy internal respiration

You're right. Maybe I should blame the board. If only this place weren't filled with midwits, I could get the appreciation I deserve!

Go on, show me again how it's done

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174724)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:02 PM
Author: brass field bbw



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174690)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:10 PM
Author: aqua parlor knife

Cr my bros and I (all 6'4+) were just talking about how 180 Israel is but also how it's nbd and pales in comparison to the real issues facing everyday hardworking folks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175233)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:11 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Spend less time online

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175236)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2026 10:38 PM
Author: World's Most Powerful Reset!!!

We gotta make sure the GOP wins so they can *checks notes* open government equity ownership of industry and redistribute wealth via “dividends.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50184930)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:51 PM
Author: laughsome ticket booth goyim

bumping this for election night.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174664)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:07 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

You do you tough guy.

It’s going to be really fun watching your confidence wither and die over the next 3 weeks as reality sets in YET AGAIN for shitlibs around the world.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174697)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:24 PM
Author: laughsome ticket booth goyim

Just like these gems:

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125881&mc=7&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4127585&mc=5&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125516&mc=4&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4135075&mc=21&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4118321&mc=7&forum_id=2#37120002

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4007938&mc=10&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125721&mc=5&forum_id=2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174723)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:32 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Non-responsive. Also gay.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174729)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: laughsome ticket booth goyim

On Election night, I will find you and FUCK YOU until you love me.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176052)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:06 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

You forgot to quote the clincher

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180918)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:05 PM
Author: Multi-colored jap

ChatGPT pay version:

Is the early midterms voting data more favorable to Democrats or Republicans?

So far, the early-voting data show higher Democratic participation relative to recent baselines, although the data are still sparse and heavily weighted toward mail voting. The clearest evidence is Virginia: as of the latest detailed analysis, voters with a Democratic-primary history were outnumbering those with a Republican-primary history by about 18 points statewide, versus only about an 8-point Democratic advantage at the same stage in 2024. In two competitive Republican-held House districts, the change was especially large: VA-1 went from roughly R+3 at this point in 2024 to D+15 now, and VA-2 from about D+2 to D+18.

There are similar patterns in mail-ballot requests. Registered Democrats account for 67% of requests in Iowa (54% at the comparable point in 2024), 66% in Pennsylvania (62% in 2024), 57% in Maine (53%), and 42% in North Carolina (36%). One important qualification is that, except for Iowa, those Democratic shares are actually lower than they were at the comparable point in the 2022 midterm.

The reason I would not translate those figures directly into an election forecast is that mail voting is structurally much more Democratic than Election Day voting, and Republicans have tended to cast a larger portion of their votes later. VoteHub specifically warns that the meaningful comparison is not simply D versus R ballots today, but whether each party is turning out voters faster than its historical pattern—and whether it is reaching lower-propensity voters rather than merely banking votes from people who would certainly vote anyway.

That said, the relative-to-baseline numbers are the interesting part, particularly Virginia. The difference between D+18 now and D+8 at the comparable point in 2024 is harder to dismiss merely as Democrats preferring early voting, because that preference existed in 2024 too. The same is true of the sizable shifts in VA-1 and VA-2. That is evidence of a Democratic turnout/enthusiasm advantage at this stage of voting, rather than evidence about how the ballots themselves were cast.

It's also consistent with the broader environment: recent national polling has shown Democrats ahead on congressional preference, while contemporary election analysis has identified Democratic enthusiasm as one of the important features of the 2026 electorate.

Bottom line as of October 6: the early-vote evidence currently shows stronger Democratic participation relative to recent comparable periods, with Virginia providing the strongest signal. But we're still roughly four weeks from Election Day, many states have barely begun in-person voting, and Republican turnout historically arrives later. So these numbers are considerably more useful as an enthusiasm indicator than as a proxy for the eventual vote.

The next thing I'd watch is whether that Virginia D-overperformance persists once several hundred thousand more in-person votes come in, and whether the same pattern emerges in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and the competitive House districts. That will tell us substantially more than today's national aggregate.

I can keep an eye on the early-vote data and let you know when the picture materially changes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174692)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:08 PM
Author: Multi-colored jap

Also, 2022 is a horrible comparator, because the pandemic was still going on then, which Democrats took much more seriously than Republicans and so voted by mail much more.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174699)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 3:25 PM
Author: Adventurous church building dragon

not to mention that was still when Trump was openly shitting on mail-in voting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176702)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:10 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Thanks for bringing gay TDS jew Sam Altman’s perspective ITT. Anything from your brain?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174701)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:14 PM
Author: Multi-colored jap

Well, let's ask MAGA Grok then (not gonna waste my mental energy on this, plus we are both biased)

Is the early midterms voting data more favorable to Democrats or Republicans?

Thought for 10s

Early voting data for the 2026 midterms currently looks more favorable to Democrats, mainly as a sign of higher Democratic participation so far—not as a count of actual votes.

As of October 6, the University of Florida Election Lab reports about 1.6 million early votes nationwide (roughly 1.3 million returned mail ballots and 304,000 in-person). In the states that report party registration, the split among those who have already voted is about 58% Democratic, 26% Republican, and 16% unaffiliated or minor-party. That is a large Democratic edge, but it covers only part of the country and a small share of the expected total vote.

CNN’s October 1 analysis of ballot requests and early returns (compiled with the AP and Catalist) found the same pattern in several competitive states, and a larger Democratic share than at the same point in 2024:

Iowa: Democrats about 67% of ballot requests, up from 54%

Pennsylvania: 66%, up from 62%

Maine: 57%, up from 53%

North Carolina: 42%, up from 36%

In Virginia, which does not register by party, localities that backed Harris by more than 20 points in 2024 were at 78% of their early-voting pace from the same point in 2024, versus 61% in localities Trump won by more than 20. Using primary participation as a proxy, Democratic primary voters were also leading among early voters in competitive House districts (roughly 15–18 points in VA-1 and VA-2). North Carolina data posted the same day showed early/absentee ballots so far about 45% Democratic, 17% Republican, and 38% unaffiliated, with voters 65 and older making up about 61%.

These numbers line up with stronger Democratic primary turnout this year and with polling that has generally shown Democrats more motivated. An NBC poll in September also found Democrats shifting somewhat toward early in-person voting and away from mail relative to 2024, while Republican plans (mostly Election Day) were little changed.

Important limits:

Party registration is not the same as how someone votes. Ballots are not counted until Election Day.

Early and especially mail voters have skewed Democratic in recent cycles; Republicans have tended to vote later, often on Election Day. CNN notes that, except in Iowa, Democratic shares of requests in those states were higher at this point in 2022 than they are now.

Volume is still small relative to the roughly 57 million pre-Election Day votes in 2022. Most in-person early voting ramps up later in October.

The early electorate is heavily older (about 65% age 65+ in states reporting age).

So the early data favor Democrats on turnout and enthusiasm relative to 2024, but they do not yet show who will win, and the gap can narrow as in-person early voting and Election Day voting increase. Election Day is November 3.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174709)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:16 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Ok, so nothing?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174711)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 3:26 PM
Author: Adventurous church building dragon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176703)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:25 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Ohio early voting is underway… looking like mostly MAGA boomers, DSA zoomer freaks nowhere in sight.

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107532100110868984?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174725)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 6:41 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Turnout way down in Cleveland? That’s a problem! 😱😱😱

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107593912088952951?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174791)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 6:05 AM
Author: Crusty bat-shit-crazy hospital

2024 was a potus year. Comparing to 2022 and/or 2018 would be more relevant

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175559)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: Useless stimulating striped hyena

So the Israeli party is beating the Israeli party.

csb

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174740)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 6:48 PM
Author: Appetizing Gay Wizard Therapy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174805)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 6:58 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Anyone seen a “blue wave” around? Anyone?

https://x.com/redeaglepatriot/status/2107599417473904908?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174828)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:01 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Even prominent online libs are realizing with horror the polls have been bullshit all year. This entire month is going to be fucking hilarious.

https://x.com/mattzeitlin/status/2107565824294760730?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174943)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:02 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

polls have always been bullshit dumbass

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174946)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:11 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Tell it to all the overconfident libs, not me!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174954)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:16 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate

in 2024 i started reading the methodology sections and they admit to manipulating the numbers sooo much. really easy to under- or over-count groups to get the results close to what they want. especially if it's a "Likely Voters" total - they have the most absurd formulas that they present as corresponding to voter likelihood.

e.g. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GY75NycWEAACyhq?format=jpg&name=medium ... they probably work backwards from desired results to arrive at these convoluted formulas

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174962)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 7:33 AM
Author: Appetizing Gay Wizard Therapy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175627)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:07 PM
Author: Sooty Alcoholic Antidepressant Drug

unskew

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174950)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:11 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Read thread title

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174955)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:29 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Miami turnout down about 30%

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107619670165532805?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50174978)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 9:23 AM
Author: Irate heaven gaping

This disinformation might hit harder if any libs were still on twitter

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175769)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 9:30 AM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

DITHINFORMATION

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175788)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: Irate heaven gaping

If you have another word for Benny Johnson (besides pedo) feel free to offer it up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176092)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 9:32 AM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Looking like Obama won’t be able to save that 5’2” terrorist manlet in Michigan

https://x.com/petebray/status/2107681915088318939?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50175803)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2026 5:54 PM
Author: SickoMode

Dem party whose highest priority is appeasing the Jewish supremacist billionaire donor are letting him rot. They’d rather loose than support a candidate who dares to criticize beautiful innocent sweet little Israel.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50184400)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 2:55 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Dems probably should have tried to register more voters in battleground states and districts over the last two years.

https://x.com/devorydarkins/status/2107851253556433144?s=46

Too late now!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176650)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 2:59 PM
Author: brass field bbw

uh oh spaghetti o

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176659)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 3:01 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Really though this is because of the 3MM+ deportations Trump has accomplished so far plus his mail fraud crackdown. (Both of which are still heavily ongoing as we speak.)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176663)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 7th, 2026 4:07 PM
Author: Irate heaven gaping

Oh no the voter registration numbers!!

That’s the same as turning out to vote for the candidate, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50176770)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2026 3:52 PM
Author: canary floppy gas station roommate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50178838)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2026 3:51 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Talarico has apparently been in a looney bin for the last week-plus. Still a “lean D” race libs?

https://x.com/seanfeucht/status/2108259964095512907?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50178834)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2026 3:53 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Maybe if dems hire more illegals to work the campaigns they can stop their current slide before it gets really bad.

https://x.com/insiderwire/status/2108035262966325448?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50178842)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2026 5:43 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

This one is really bad libs. Make sure your buttplugs are in and adjusted and comfy before clicking.

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/2108266972895146236?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50179026)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 8th, 2026 5:45 PM
Author: Bateful Trust Fund

Dems got one OK day of early voting turnout and then it tanked, while GOP EV turnout has remained consistent.

https://x.com/earlyvotedata/status/2108308393970786647?s=46

Trend is going to stay like this and all the key races will be Joever by Halloween. Election Day in-person voting will just be GOP kicking libs while they’re down.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50179030)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:04 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Dems are giving up on Ohio. I don’t like Vivek but it will still be 180 to see the lib wailing when he’s sworn in

https://x.com/smith_cade9/status/2108364469973770485?s=46

https://x.com/e_dataguy/status/2107945309615559008?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180911)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:05 PM
Author: ''''"'''""'""

You need to bump this thread about 400 more times if you want Dems to lose

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180915)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:06 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Thanks for the bump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180917)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:05 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Paul LePage, among others, is a lock to flip a blue house seat.

https://x.com/opensourcezone/status/2108652740914106819?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180916)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:08 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

Ohio is a real shithole that deserves nothing but the worst, so I'm happy almost no matter what happens there

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180921)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:17 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Dem turnout fell off a cliff today

https://x.com/justr_02/status/2108342347469664388?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180944)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:46 PM
Author: ''''"'''""'""

That’s a Trump +44% county homie

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181004)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:50 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Is Cuyahoga Trump +44?

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107950002555215989?s=46

Or how about Franklin?

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2108575501317030290?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181014)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:09 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

What will Georgia libs do now that they can’t cheat as much? Other than scream and bitch and attempt assassinations that is.

https://x.com/rncvoteprotect/status/2108642028833886697?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180924)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:47 PM
Author: ''''"'''""'""

Georgians voting is cheating?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181007)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Did Fani Willis tell you to think that?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181010)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:24 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Gosh I hope the DNC wasn’t counting on any pickups in Indiana

https://x.com/e_dataguy/status/2108583263166185842?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180960)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2026 11:59 PM
Author: .,..,,.,.,.,.,.,..,.,.,..,..,


wow this election data guy site sounds accurate. hey by the way how are they projecting the elections to end up?

https://www.electiondataguy.com/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50185027)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:44 PM
Author: ''''"'''""'""

ruh roh

https://x.com/macfarlanenews/status/2108660019029819617?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50180999)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:46 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

I concede dems will probably overperform in Virginia from all the seething unemployed feds, plus I assume CIA Abby’s voter fraud machine runs pretty tight.

GOP blue-to-red House flips elsewhere will balance it out.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181005)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: ''''"'''""'""

Terrible news for Democrats

https://x.com/randyheyyyy/status/2108650513340174765?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181011)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:52 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Tommy pls respond

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50181018)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2026 6:56 PM
Author: Israeli-American professor of Holocaust and genoci

(retard)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50184569)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 11th, 2026 10:41 PM
Author: '"'''"'''""""

No real Republican is voting for that scamjeet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50184934)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

The democrat hedging and fear is breaking containment https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2110022015767707951

https://x.com/markdharris/status/2109969583973044547

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50187738)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:42 AM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Game over for Mohamed Muslim Brotherhood el-Sayed

https://x.com/sirerottweiler/status/2109918729127752003?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50187767)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:44 AM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Pro-Cornyn GOP whale donor in Houston finally grows a pair and endorses Paxton. Voters can’t lie to themselves about what’s at stake anymore.

https://x.com/deskofmattcone/status/2110022764321181792

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50187771)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:53 AM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Does noted Smart Chick The Box tp still think Florida is in play?😂

https://x.com/jakesnake4321/status/2110004392745476535

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50187796)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:59 AM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Veddy bad generic ballot trend for dems.

https://x.com/bananarep405/status/2109995129226592480

What you’re seeing is their “retaking the House” pipe dream going up in smoke.

https://x.com/patrickruffini/status/2109829114249007187

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50187808)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 13th, 2026 12:19 PM
Author: "'''""'"""'"

Libs is it “good” for your “blue wave” that more white republicans are voting in ATLANTA than black democrats?

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2110023720760922509?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2#50187851)