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What if UAE mines Iran's part of the Strait of Hormuz?
| German pumo | 04/06/26 |
| Fucking Fuckface | 04/06/26 |
| Fucking Fuckface | 04/06/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: April 6th, 2026 9:21 AM Author: German pumo It's easy as fuck for a small boat to drop a couple of mines, but that applies to Iran's territorial waters as well. I doubt that the UAE will sit around forever and watch Iran get rich from tolls without making some kind of counterplay. Scenarios like that make me think Iran is off-base in thinking they will be allowed to control the Strait forever. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5854103&forum_id=2Firm#49797210) |
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Date: April 6th, 2026 9:29 AM Author: Fucking Fuckface Their maintenance of a strictly defensive posture isn't by chance. Unless they are ready to send in ground forces or have some kind of secret missile defense system we haven't seen, jumping in as a direct enemy would be the type of gamble they haven't shown any appetite for at this point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5854103&forum_id=2Firm#49797236) |
Date: April 6th, 2026 9:34 AM Author: Fucking Fuckface Oops, you asked a question. Some quick thoughts:
1. Iran would reciprocate, making it even harder to deescalate and get any ships through
2. UAE would start to bear some ire of key partners whose energy shipments are now unable to get through even with tolls
3. UAE becomes a direct enemy and an easier strike than Israel
4. There is real risk that the US leaves in a "victory" that resolves little to nothing in the UAE's favor after having made Iran a direct enemy
What is the actual benefit from mining that UAE gets to offset these negatives? |