remember: there are "professional" investors buying bonds w/ -10% real rate now
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Date: May 9th, 2021 11:24 PM Author: grizzly supple incel
if you own a bond that is paying 3% coupon, and inflation is 2% like the CPI says, then your real rate is 1%
if you own a bond that is paying 3% coupon, but inflation is actually 15%, then your real rate is -12%. put another way, you are letting someone borrow your money in order to pay you back less money. factoring in the time value of money for your capital return, the bond is worthless.
$130 trillion+ in bonds are premised on the idea that scenario #1 is the case, not scenario #2.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4830640&forum_id=2#42432572) |
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Date: May 9th, 2021 11:35 PM Author: grizzly supple incel
in the US, roughly 80% of national debt is held by the public. so mutual funds, pension funds, social security funds, military retirement funds, individuals, etc. so basically the average american is loaning the government money to fund its insanity, and will be rewarded with nothing
the fed increasingly holds a lot of debt because it's so garbage that nobody else wants to touch it. the fed is now doing $120 billion in treasury purchases PER MONTH in order to prop up the market and keep rates low
soverign nations have been increasingly dumping US treasuries, especially china/russia, which have been stockpiling gold
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4830640&forum_id=2#42432657) |
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