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When Texas flips, the GOP is megafucked

party seems in denial over this. but it will happen, potent...
offensive son of senegal
  11/28/21
Going the stronger the opposite direction actually. Watch ho...
Shimmering Stead Affirmative Action
  11/28/21
Don't Mess with Texas
deep blathering property
  11/28/21
I'm not so sure. Texas was definitely trending blue, but the...
supple learning disabled box office trump supporter
  11/28/21
https://www.270towin.com/maps/rQApX
Unholy macaca pit
  11/28/21
on what planet is the GOP winning New Jersey and Maryland?
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
Larry Hogan's world, brother.
Unholy macaca pit
  11/29/21
you faggots have been saying this for decades
Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy
  11/28/21
2012 - Romney Obama R +16, Cruz Sadler R +16 2014 - Abbot...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/28/21
2022 will be a bigger indicator (trends vs past elections) ...
Buck-toothed Opaque Dysfunction
  11/28/21
Agree with all of this but the math is still overwhelming by...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
These raw numbers are misleading because they don't reflect ...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
No real chance of Texas being even purple in 2024. Still a ...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/28/21
the GOP are basically a bunch of psychopathic white guys who...
Pearly coldplay fan den
  11/28/21
...
bisexual striped hyena
  11/28/21
the only thing that keeps gop politicians in office is the a...
plum newt
  11/28/21
...
Red bull headed new version
  11/28/21
...
honey-headed main people electric furnace
  11/28/21
...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
...
hot poppy corn cake
  11/28/21
Interesting that Texas is getting bluer but Florida is getti...
slap-happy exhilarant tank
  11/28/21
...
trip locus degenerate
  11/28/21
Florida has definitely been trending slightly red when you t...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
...
trip locus degenerate
  11/28/21
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/swing-states-2020-elect...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
Florida is becoming less blue, rather than more red. That's ...
disrespectful mischievous locale associate
  12/01/21
Date: November 28th, 2021 5:06 PM Author: "''"'''...
autistic greedy space
  11/28/21
Date: November 28th, 2021 9:48 AM Author: "''"'''...
autistic greedy space
  11/28/21
why do you blank all your posts? that's such a retarded and ...
autistic greedy space
  11/28/21
Speaking as a recent migrant to Florida, I can explain it. ...
Indecent ape
  11/28/21
how pathetic does one have to be to move to a shithole like ...
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
Florida is full of mouth breathing retards (see TSINAH)
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
2016: "haha gop will never win again!" retards ...
Sienna site blood rage
  11/28/21
Fair but if the median voter is pushed way to the left due t...
Adventurous mauve home
  11/28/21
The entire debate is essentially whether the Trump coalition...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
ithll be tho cool when were a one parthy thtate, the 40yo mi...
Apoplectic Magical Market
  11/28/21
It will only be because you idiots let in 50 million spics
Curious Useless Crackhouse Kitty
  11/28/21
Fortuitous implosion of the “conservative” party...
Anal idiot
  11/28/21
This is a good thing. The establishment GOP needs to be blow...
wonderful senate roast beef
  11/28/21
Actual Texan here. The GOP is in very good shape here now an...
Orange tanning salon
  11/28/21
...
cordovan marvelous office
  11/28/21
Cr and polling consistently backs all of this up
galvanic business firm
  11/28/21
...
180 athletic conference death wish
  11/28/21
...
shaky personal credit line
  11/28/21
This is dumb and wrong. If you look at national elections t...
Cracking principal's office internal respiration
  11/28/21
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/05/us/texas-elec...
shaky personal credit line
  11/28/21
This is nonresponsive to my simple math.
Cracking principal's office internal respiration
  11/28/21
Trump was 1% away from GWB --- https://thehill.com/op...
shaky personal credit line
  11/28/21
Still nonresponsive to my math. 41% and you bring in tens o...
Cracking principal's office internal respiration
  11/28/21
up 7% We will see where 2022 / 2024 shake out
shaky personal credit line
  11/28/21
...
galvanic business firm
  11/28/21
(DrakeMallard alt)
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
so in 16 years the vote share hardly moved. good "argu...
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
...
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
I know a bunch of I-35 moderates and woke Houston suburb whi...
180 athletic conference death wish
  11/28/21
I think the Democrats could do a lot more to attract people ...
Orange tanning salon
  11/28/21
Texans in cities turning blue will be voting for lower taxes...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
...
180 athletic conference death wish
  11/28/21
If they're so conservative why did they vote for the party o...
stimulating area incel
  11/28/21
Texas Latinos have always been more conservative than Latino...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
this is valid + even though the GOP does better with TX Lati...
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
CR. Also they did phenomenally well under Trump bc he was t...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
this is fucking delusional.
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/28/21
...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
Also an actual Texan. The reason why this answer is retarde...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
...
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  11/29/21
Rongtime Actuar Texan hele!!
Talented chartreuse stage scourge upon the earth
  11/29/21
...
Orange tanning salon
  11/28/21
First past the post system means the parties will shift to b...
Peach Goyim
  11/28/21
"motion to extend texas border southward 30 miles."...
navy vigorous nursing home fortuitous meteor
  11/28/21
White liberals that don’t actually know any latinos as...
vivacious corner goal in life
  11/28/21
...
Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy
  11/28/21
...
Walnut Odious Ratface Rehab
  11/28/21
...
shaky personal credit line
  11/28/21
Winning around 60% of their vote is "doing well" a...
stimulating area incel
  11/28/21
Libs count on 95 percent plus from their pet groups
Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy
  11/28/21
95+% is roughly what the GOP currently gets from white Texan...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
That's a completely different situation. The major cities in...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
Latinos in Texas are showing similar trends as Latinos in FL...
Walnut Odious Ratface Rehab
  11/28/21
2026 could see a Beto type Dem win though in a statewide non...
Unholy macaca pit
  11/28/21
The American political scene is in a major state of flux, fa...
maniacal chad
  11/28/21
"Hispanics occupy the same niche the Italians and Irish...
Pearly coldplay fan den
  11/28/21
This is why libs have been disarming the immigration system ...
Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy
  11/28/21
Maybe. Republicans want to claim that Latinos are trending i...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
this is fantasyland. a country/state that is 80% latin am...
Pearly coldplay fan den
  11/28/21
We won’t be 80% Latin American before 2150 or ever. I...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/29/21
(brazen lying kike
Pearly coldplay fan den
  11/29/21
...
Orange tanning salon
  11/29/21
So much progressive political theory comes down to "x w...
Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk
  11/28/21
Lib logic prevents critical thinking to the point people sta...
180 athletic conference death wish
  11/28/21
The only thing Trumpmos were deluded by is understating the ...
wonderful senate roast beef
  11/28/21
I agree with you up to a point. Iowa and Ohio used to be the...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
GOP has got to either keep up Trump's gains with latinos, or...
Unholy macaca pit
  11/29/21
Nevada has shifted redder relative to the country as a whole...
Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk
  11/30/21
LOL anyone who ever thought that War Machine actually knows ...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/30/21
There is literally no universe in which Texas flips before N...
Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk
  11/30/21
Nevada added 15% to its population between 2010 and 2020 tha...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/30/21
Let's make a wager: I say R's do better in Nevada (relative ...
Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk
  11/30/21
I say no bet because Texas is an order of magnitude bigger a...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/30/21
Virginia, Georgia, Florida, Ohio and PA will all be strongly...
thriller depressive
  11/28/21
Lol! No. Virginia is barely a swing state any more, and Geor...
Dull Stag Film
  11/28/21
If Georgia is heading toward D+10 margins in presidential el...
Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk
  11/30/21
Replace Robby Mook and the tacklebox full of buttplugs crew ...
Salmon Double Fault
  11/30/21
this thread really has gotten you worked up
autistic greedy space
  11/30/21
Virginia and Georgia will be safe blue. Pennsylvania will...
ebony cruel-hearted institution
  12/01/21
Florida will be safe red before Georgia is safe blue. Th...
Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk
  12/02/21


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 1:26 AM
Author: offensive son of senegal

party seems in denial over this. but it will happen, potentially not in 2024 but definitely by 2028.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520772)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:33 PM
Author: Shimmering Stead Affirmative Action

Going the stronger the opposite direction actually. Watch how badly BETO gets BTFO.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523245)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 1:40 AM
Author: deep blathering property

Don't Mess with Texas

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520795)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 1:53 AM
Author: supple learning disabled box office trump supporter

I'm not so sure. Texas was definitely trending blue, but then Biden created a border crisis by ending the remain in Mexico program. And Biden has harmed the oil and natural gas industries, which are large employers in the state. It's hard to identify any new constituencies that Biden has added to the democratic party.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520809)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 2:03 AM
Author: Unholy macaca pit

https://www.270towin.com/maps/rQApX

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520825)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:50 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

on what planet is the GOP winning New Jersey and Maryland?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524560)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2021 8:39 PM
Author: Unholy macaca pit

Larry Hogan's world, brother.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43529930)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 2:14 AM
Author: Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy

you faggots have been saying this for decades

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520847)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 6:00 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

2012 - Romney Obama R +16, Cruz Sadler R +16

2014 - Abbott Davis R +19.5, Cornyn Alameel R +27

2016 - Trump Clinton R +9

2018 - Abbott Valdez R +13, Cruz Beto R +2

2020 - Trump Biden R +5, Cornyn Hegar R +6.5

Every year Texas has 250k people die, ~ 90% of whom are white conservatives, and every year approximately 1.25M people in Texas turn 18, 2/3rds of whom aren’t white and overall the new voters lean Dem by 20-30 points, but most of them don’t vote (so far). There are thousands of stories about the net migration of 50k people or so into Texas every year, but that has way less of an impact on partisan lean than deaths and adds to voting age population. If Dems ever get off their asses and register voters it will change more quickly, bc the Texas Dem party has been a pathetic joke since we poasters were preteens. But the decade long trend is roughly 2% gain per federal cycle because of demographic trends that are fully baked in and caused by lax immigration enforcement two decades ago and earlier.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521041)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 3:34 PM
Author: Buck-toothed Opaque Dysfunction

2022 will be a bigger indicator (trends vs past elections)

2020 had COVID mail-in bullshit and Trump as a uniquely divisive figure. And the GOP did shockingly well with Hispanics. Hispanics in Texas tend to be more deeply rooted and are repulsed by Dem crime bullshit and nig pandering. There are a ton of conservative second and third generation hispanic men in Texas. Combine that with a return to outperformance with suburban whites and Pinochet level dominance with rural whites and they’re safe in Texas for a while.

Libs were protected from their growing insanity because of Trump. He shielded them from crushing electoral defeats because a ton of people just hate him. 2022 we’ll see how things go without that shield. If it’s a dominant win like 2010 or 2014 in spite of a decade of demographic change then I think that argument is overstated.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522743)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2021 9:11 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

Agree with all of this but the math is still overwhelming by 2030 and beyond.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526208)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:02 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

These raw numbers are misleading because they don't reflect the national mood. Biden beat Trump by a bigger margin than Clinton did. If you look at Texas relative to the country as a whole, Texas barely moved between 2016 and 2020. If current demographic trends continue, Texas is likely to become at least a swing state at some point. But I will be very surprised if it happens by 2028, much less 2024.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523097)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 10:24 PM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

No real chance of Texas being even purple in 2024. Still a 2-3 point GOP lean and likely ideal conditions to unify republicans and right leaning independents and depress Dems and Dem leaners. My point is that a Dem advantage by 2030 is demographically inevitable bc it will be ~20% bigger voting age population and the shift in partisan lean will be ~15+ points to the Dems bc the ~ 2.5 M net votes that the GOP loses to old whites dying in the next 10 years while there are 10 M+ voters added to the rolls that likely lean Dem by 3M or more. Trump won Texas by 600k. Abbott in absolutely ideal conditions in 2018 won by 1.2M. Even if the demographics wildly underperform these trends it’s just math that the Texas GOP is hemorrhaging voters.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524777)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 2:55 AM
Author: Pearly coldplay fan den

the GOP are basically a bunch of psychopathic white guys who work for globohomo and are liquidating what remains of white men's dwindling political/electoral capital in the US for their own personal short-term profit. they don't really care about the 'future' of the party or their constituents. it's a fire sale of Legacy America.

they have fully embraced the future reality of a Gay Brown Globohomo America. they are doing everything they can to expedite it (at the behest of their donors/(((masters)))).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520924)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 3:28 AM
Author: bisexual striped hyena



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43520953)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 6:27 AM
Author: plum newt

the only thing that keeps gop politicians in office is the anti-white/anti-male/pro-mass-immigration/pro-tranny etc platform of the Dems...i seem to be the only person in the world to notice how the media HOUNDS the Dems to make them mouth anti-white/anti-white/anti-tradition propaganda...this phenomenon is most easily witnessed during Dem presidential debates...one of the media's biggest jobs is to persuade the Dems that there are huge segments of america that want tranny bathrooms, to shut down pipelines, to implement more affirmative action etc...if not for the media pushing Dems into extreme positions, the gop would be a mere vestigial fragment of its current form...and that same media is funded by ad buys from huge corporations...hmm, what's up with that?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521049)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 8:25 AM
Author: Red bull headed new version



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521109)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:03 AM
Author: honey-headed main people electric furnace



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521180)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2021 9:13 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526219)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 11:30 PM
Author: hot poppy corn cake



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43525121)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 7:28 AM
Author: slap-happy exhilarant tank

Interesting that Texas is getting bluer but Florida is getting redder. Why is that?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521070)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:48 AM
Author: trip locus degenerate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521263)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:05 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

Florida has definitely been trending slightly red when you take the national mood into account. I don't know all the demographic trends, but I think it is due to the fact that Florida's very large rural population has been moving Republican very quickly combined with the fact that many new residents are white retirees, who also lean Republican.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523099)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:06 PM
Author: trip locus degenerate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523106)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:16 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/swing-states-2020-election/

Based on this analysis at 538, Florida has moved very slightly to the right between 2000 and 2016, although the difference is pretty small. The trend accelerated slightly in 2020. So it's not a huge difference, but Florida is definitely becoming slightly more Republican relative to the rest of the country.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523142)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 1:46 AM
Author: disrespectful mischievous locale associate

Florida is becoming less blue, rather than more red. That's what happens when the Latino population is mostly Cuban and the Dems heave themselves toward outright socialism with wild abandon.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43537362)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:31 PM
Author: autistic greedy space

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:06 PM

Author: "''"'''"""'''

that’s the perception, not the reality. Also DeSantis nearly lost to a gay crackhead. That’s not what you typically see in a red state.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523236)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 5:31 PM
Author: autistic greedy space

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:48 AM

Author: "''"'''"""'''

Florida getting redder is a weird myth with no support. Trump won it by 2-3% because its a purple state and he’s basically from there.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523238)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:38 PM
Author: autistic greedy space

why do you blank all your posts? that's such a retarded and faggy thing to do.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524496)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:11 PM
Author: Indecent ape

Speaking as a recent migrant to Florida, I can explain it. Those of us that have moved to Florida did so largely because we're Republicans that want to live in a Republican place.

Texas is getting people from California that are moving to Austin (which, they view as "not really TX") and have no interest in living in an R place and are taking their politics with them.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524353)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:51 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

how pathetic does one have to be to move to a shithole like FL for the politics. loserfuck.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524566)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:51 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

Florida is full of mouth breathing retards (see TSINAH)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524564)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 8:32 AM
Author: Sienna site blood rage

2016: "haha gop will never win again!"

retards think politics is static. the parties will shift positions to remain competitive.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521116)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:45 AM
Author: Adventurous mauve home

Fair but if the median voter is pushed way to the left due to demographics the GOP will be to the left of the DNC from twenty years ago.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521257)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2021 9:19 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

The entire debate is essentially whether the Trump coalition is durable. Texas is the main proof of why it isn’t long term, with AZ and GA in 2020 being the canaries in the coalmine for what’s to come, stipulating to the fact that nationwide mail in voting and 24 hour drivethru voting and ballot harvesting were all a thumb on the scale of at least a few % points. GOP needs to be more christmo identified, less pro corporate and pro rich people, and less white power identified while still construing immigration as a workers’ rights issue and implementing lower rates of low skill immigration. Needs to be a true workers party instead of a bullshit all talk workers party that in reality prioritizes tax cuts for corporations.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526244)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 8:36 AM
Author: Apoplectic Magical Market

ithll be tho cool when were a one parthy thtate, the 40yo millennial lisped.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521123)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 8:42 AM
Author: Curious Useless Crackhouse Kitty

It will only be because you idiots let in 50 million spics

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521139)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:18 AM
Author: Anal idiot

Fortuitous implosion of the “conservative” party.

Best thing that could happen. GOP has been tranquillizing and betraying us for decades

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521206)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 9:49 AM
Author: wonderful senate roast beef

This is a good thing. The establishment GOP needs to be blown up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521266)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 10:34 AM
Author: Orange tanning salon

Actual Texan here. The GOP is in very good shape here now and into the future. Why?

Conservative whites are dying, but numerically Hispanics are taking their place. Hispanics are largely MUCH more conservative than whites. Whites can be persuaded that liberalism is a good thing; that they should feel guilty about their past; that they should support gay shit.

Rank and file Hispanics are resolutely proud of their heritage, their family. They own property, however modest, and share with their entire family. They are not atomized like whites. Many of them have left the Catholic Church, but they attend evangelical churches instead.

They hate niggers, and will never fall for BLM. Not being white, they can’t be guilted into supporting it. They know not to relax, because black people have always been a threat to their life and property, slinking over to the barrio from the ghetto to rob and sell drugs.

They have little sympathy for border jumpers. Most of them immigrated legally, or have always been Americans. Border jumpers ruin their border communities and threaten their kids’ safety. Counties in the Rio Grande Valley voted overwhelmingly for Trump last year, in some counties a 20- to 30-point swing from 2016.

Yes, we will get a lot of big-money carpetbaggers swarming into the state. But they refuse to live anywhere except a few key ZIP codes. They won’t change the outlook of vast swaths of the state. They won’t convert people to their way of thinking, it is beyond reason now, bordering on religiosity. Crucially, they have few children.

TLDR Whites are on their way out but Hispanics are not blue. I mean, they were blue, but then they starting pushing all this fag bullshit.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521422)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 10:37 AM
Author: cordovan marvelous office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43521431)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:30 PM
Author: galvanic business firm

Cr and polling consistently backs all of this up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522725)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2021 3:33 PM
Author: 180 athletic conference death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522735)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:43 PM
Author: shaky personal credit line



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522783)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:45 PM
Author: Cracking principal's office internal respiration

This is dumb and wrong. If you look at national elections the Republican who got the greatest share of the Hispanic vote was GWB in 2004 who got 42% by pretending to be a Mexican and promising Hispanics free mortgages and houses. Based on this if you look at it mathematically more Hispanics will always be bad — which is why shitlibs push it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522797)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:47 PM
Author: shaky personal credit line

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/05/us/texas-election-results.html

Demographic changes and a suburban backlash did not stop President Trump from taking the Lone Star State, though he did so with a smaller margin than in 2016. Even as urban and suburban areas moved in large numbers toward Democrats, many Hispanic voters in the south abruptly exited the Democratic coalition.

There was an indication of a Hispanic movement leaning Republican when former Representative Beto O’Rourke, a Democrat, lost ground in some Hispanic counties in his 2018 race against Senator Ted Cruz, a Republican. In Hidalgo County, for instance, Mrs. Clinton won by 41 percentage points in 2016, Mr. O’Rourke won by 38 in 2018, and Mr. Biden by just 17 points.

The state’s I-35 corridor, from the northern suburbs of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex to San Antonio, was awash in newfound Democrats, mostly white and educated. The Houston suburbs also moved in Mr. Biden’s direction.

Texas has become politically competitive partly because of its growing diversity and because its white suburbs have grown more moderate. Counties outside the inner suburbs — largely white and wealthier areas often referred to as exurbs — have also seen some movement to the left.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522802)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:48 PM
Author: Cracking principal's office internal respiration

This is nonresponsive to my simple math.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522803)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:50 PM
Author: shaky personal credit line

Trump was 1% away from GWB

---

https://thehill.com/opinion/immigration/582970-hispanic-support-for-republicans-hardline-immigration-policies-may-keep

Many Democrats were convinced that Donald Trump’s conservative, and at times offensive, policies on immigration and border security would alienate Hispanics to such an extent that they would flock in droves to the Democratic Party in 2020. Instead, according to exit polls, Trump won 32 percent of the Latino vote nationally (up from 28 percent in 2016) and 41 percent of the Latino vote in Texas (up from 34 percent in 2016). In the Rio Grande Valley’s two most populous countries (Hidalgo and Cameron; directly across the border from Mexico), where Hispanics account for more than 90 percent of the population, Trump won 41 percent and 43 percent of the vote in 2020 (up from 28 percent and 32 percent, respectively, in 2016).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522813)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:51 PM
Author: Cracking principal's office internal respiration

Still nonresponsive to my math. 41% and you bring in tens of millions and you’re beyond fucked.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522820)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:52 PM
Author: shaky personal credit line

up 7%

We will see where 2022 / 2024 shake out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522822)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:54 PM
Author: galvanic business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522829)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:55 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

(DrakeMallard alt)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524592)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:55 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

so in 16 years the vote share hardly moved. good "argument" you fucking retard.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524589)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:54 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524582)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:55 PM
Author: 180 athletic conference death wish

I know a bunch of I-35 moderates and woke Houston suburb whites.

I-35 corridor folks are social libs but fiscally conservative. They like police, roads, and firefighters, think Dallas, Austin, San Antone are way too woke. But they are also moderates. Lots of working class Hispanics and whites. They all like weed and therefore think the state legislators from rural TX are insane. They're somewhat sympathetic to BLM. But they would rather vote R if it meant lower property taxes. Lot of split 50/50 counties in national elections that could swing either way.

Houston suburb libs are like literally as bad as NYC joos. These are yuge white guilt liberal types. A lot more left wing than I35ers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522837)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:02 PM
Author: Orange tanning salon

I think the Democrats could do a lot more to attract people like you describe, but are currently so ideologically rigid that they refuse to do so. OTOH, no Texan ever willingly voted for higher taxes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522860)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 9:09 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

Texans in cities turning blue will be voting for lower taxes for themselves while they also vote to tax the shit out of the farms and oil and gas producers who overconsume and pollute water and emit shitloads of carbon.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526200)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:49 PM
Author: 180 athletic conference death wish



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522807)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:40 PM
Author: stimulating area incel

If they're so conservative why did they vote for the party of 8 year old trannies even in Texas? Texas whites voted like 80%+ against it for reference

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523025)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 5:00 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

Texas Latinos have always been more conservative than Latinos nationwide. And they did swing hard for Trump in 2020. Having said that, Latinos and other minorities were the groups that suffered the worst during the COVID recession. There is at least some indication that the swing toward Trump in 2020 was simply the result of the fact that Latinos were terrified that there would be more lockdowns if Biden won. It will be interesting to see if this trend continues in 2022/2024 or if it was just a blip due to unusual circumstances.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523088)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:54 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

this is valid + even though the GOP does better with TX Latinos than Latinos overall, they never win them, even with GWB on the ballot (their peak performance). They are not trending GOP, they will continue to vote 60-40 or 65-35 for Dems. Given that they will soon overtake whites as the largest voting bloc there, the GOP is fucked.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524580)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 8:51 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

CR. Also they did phenomenally well under Trump bc he was the first POTUS in like 40 years to reverse the low wage decline. But Latinos in Texas are still very open to attacks on corporate power, far more than Latinos in other parts of the country like Florida. They will listen to a populist Dem way more than generic Republican and a Trumpmo Republican can easily lose them with a stray moment of White power talk.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526139)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:52 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

this is fucking delusional.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524573)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2021 8:51 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526140)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 8:55 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

Also an actual Texan. The reason why this answer is retarded and gets a failing grade in Texas politics class is that it contains zero discussion of the urban/rural transition. Texas went from ~low 60s to 75% urban/suburban between 2010 and 2020. Population is supposed to 1.5x by 2040 while rural population will drastically shrink so that urban/suburban will be 90+%. GOP is not viable in a state with that little rural population and it will result in wholesale changes to the basic structures of state government eg property taxes being the main source of state revenue and cities/city counties paying way higher rates than country counties.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526145)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 8:03 PM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43529758)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 8:04 PM
Author: Talented chartreuse stage scourge upon the earth

Rongtime Actuar Texan hele!!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43529761)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:22 PM
Author: Orange tanning salon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522684)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:34 PM
Author: Peach Goyim

First past the post system means the parties will shift to be competitive

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522745)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 3:36 PM
Author: navy vigorous nursing home fortuitous meteor

"motion to extend texas border southward 30 miles."

49 "seconded"s in unison

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522754)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:28 PM
Author: vivacious corner goal in life

White liberals that don’t actually know any latinos assume that demographic change in Texas will inevitably make it a blue state.

How is that going in Florida? The party of androgynous freaks that increasingly say “birthing people” and “latinx” seems unlikely to do all that well with Hispanics in Texas. Call it a hunch.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522980)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:32 PM
Author: Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43522986)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:38 PM
Author: Walnut Odious Ratface Rehab



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523016)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:40 PM
Author: shaky personal credit line



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523022)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:41 PM
Author: stimulating area incel

Winning around 60% of their vote is "doing well" actually

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523026)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 4:42 PM
Author: Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy

Libs count on 95 percent plus from their pet groups

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523030)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 9:35 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

95+% is roughly what the GOP currently gets from white Texans over 70. The issues is that even replacing them with a demographic that’s 50/50 is a huge loss for the GOP and It’s worse than that bc it’s more like 60/40 or 65/35 and it’s 2.5 new Latinos for every dead old white. Just ask yourself which party has Latinos as their most prominent members in Texas and which has exclusively old and middle aged whites (and no George P Bush’s cucktastic ass doesn’t count).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526303)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 5:10 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

That's a completely different situation. The major cities in Texas are seeing extremely rapid growth, and they are becoming increasingly Democratic. Meanwhile a high percentage of the new residents in Florida are white retirees, who lean Republican. Also a high percentage of the Latinos in Florida are Cuban or Venezuelan, both of which are much more Republican than Latinos generally. It is true that Texas has a huge rural population that is becoming more and more Republican, which helps offset the other trends mentioned above. But unless the Republicans manage to broaden their appeal to Latinos and/or urban/college-educated whites, they are in trouble in Texas in the long run. However, I will be very surprised if Texas is a legitimate swing state by 2028, much less 2024.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523118)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 8:11 PM
Author: Walnut Odious Ratface Rehab

Latinos in Texas are showing similar trends as Latinos in FL. e.g. a Texas Dem state rep flipped to GOP recently.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523997)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:27 PM
Author: Unholy macaca pit

2026 could see a Beto type Dem win though in a statewide non-Presidential election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524443)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:49 PM
Author: maniacal chad

The American political scene is in a major state of flux, far more so than the Democrats realize, and even some Republicans. What is happening is that the Republicans are increasingly becoming the party of the common working people (aka the old Democrats) and the Democrats, formerly the party of FDR and LBJ, are becoming the party of the elite establishment classes.

We've already witnessed the full conversion of the white working classes to the Republicans, and that in turn is changing the Republican party. It's no longer the party of big business and banking it was 20 years ago. It is now increasingly hostile to big corporations and especially big tech, and for good reasons. It's now the party increasingly focused on the liberties and rights of ordinary people.

The big question mark is in what direction the immigrants and non-whites go. There are many indicators that Hispanics are not turning to identity politics to the degree the Democrats hope for, if anything, many reject identity politics. Hispanics are also an extremely diverse bloc, not monolithic like black Americans. The Democratic viewpoint towards race is driven solely by its experience with black voters that they are constantly making mistakes in trying to extent their moral righteousness surrounding identity politics to the Hispanic voting blocs, but Hispanics have a very different American experience than blacks do. Hispanics occupy the same niche the Italians and Irish did in previous generations, are much more culturally conservative, religious, family-oriented, and gung ho to work, all common contributes of traditional American working and middle classes, and all suggesting a natural sympathy for many traditional Republican platforms. They don't bring a natural antipathy towards American history that blacks and elite Democrats do, if anything, they are eager to be part of the great American experience.

It's not unreasonable to see Hispanics effectively becoming "normalized" rather than remaining a distinct and separate bloc, something that is actually happening more quickly than we might have thought. The South Texas results in recent elections show substantial anger towards the Democrats over their failure to control the border, and this is from Hispanic voters. They made clear their vote is not guaranteed the way black votes are.

As things are in extreme flux, it will be very interesting to see how politics and voting dynamics and party allegiances evolve in the next twenty years. I do think the Republicans have many reasons to be confident but they will need to work extremely hard at it.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524555)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:53 PM
Author: Pearly coldplay fan den

"Hispanics occupy the same niche the Italians and Irish did in previous generations"

*look at Italy, look at Ireland and the cultures those people created*

*now look at Honduras*

this is vacuous. when the country is filled with 80IQ hispanics, it will be a favela (with hypershitlib enclaves like SF existing like islands among the ocean of shit).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524579)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:57 PM
Author: Saffron glittery dilemma ladyboy

This is why libs have been disarming the immigration system to force 2m of them a yr into the country

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524597)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 11:14 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

Maybe. Republicans want to claim that Latinos are trending in their direction because Trump did unusually well in South Florida and South Texas in 2020. Maybe they are. But it could also just be the fact that Latino voters were terrified that there would be more COVID lockdowns if Biden won combined with the fact that Trump's campaign did a far better job reaching out to Latino voters than Biden's campaign did. I would want to see this result in more than one election before I decide if it's a trend or a blip.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43525061)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 5:18 PM
Author: Pearly coldplay fan den

this is fantasyland.

a country/state that is 80% latin americans will become, quite literally, a latin american state.

hispanic super-majorities are not going to preside over an anglo-american style Burkean conservative/libertarian culture. this is sheer delusion.

you only need to look at latin america to know what your future will be.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523154)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 9:32 AM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

We won’t be 80% Latin American before 2150 or ever. It’s only going to get to 24% by 2050 if current trends continue. A better way to understand these changes is that biracial/multiracial will be the majority category by 2100 and between 2050 and 2100 there will necessarily be a reconsideration of those people as members of whatever non white race that is some portion of their DNA.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526287)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 4:15 PM
Author: Pearly coldplay fan den

(brazen lying kike

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43528696)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 9:24 AM
Author: Orange tanning salon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43526260)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 5:34 PM
Author: Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk

So much progressive political theory comes down to "x will mean more Dem voters, but nothing, NOTHING can create more Republican voters."

Assuming the trends that make Texas bluer continue apace, Nevada, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire will all turn red first.

It's so dumb because we've seen this play out several times in our lifetimes. California used to be a red state! Were the GOP fucked when it became deep blue?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523250)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 5:43 PM
Author: 180 athletic conference death wish

Lib logic prevents critical thinking to the point people start arriving at these goofy conclusions.

They haven't freed their minds to think about problems from every angle. Lib religion prevents critical thought and creativity. So you just end up with these maxims.

Libs were saying during Obama term that Northern Virginia going blue was the nail in the coffin for the GOP and demographics would win permanently. Then obviously 2016, the great Unforeseen Result.

Trupmos definitely also in denial about the fact their living God could possibly turn off suburban voters with his bumbling repulsive persona.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523304)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 6:21 PM
Author: wonderful senate roast beef

The only thing Trumpmos were deluded by is understating the lengths that the corrupt Dems would go through to get their man in office.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43523506)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 11:29 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

I agree with you up to a point. Iowa and Ohio used to be the quintessential swing states but they are both basically solid red states now. There is a good chance that Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and maybe even Minnesota are headed in the same direction. I'm less convinced about Nevada (much more urban and Latino than these midwestern states) and New Hampshire (much higher proportion of college educated people). On the other hand, states like Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas are drifting toward the Democrats.

In the short term, these changes are more likely to help the Republicans. The aforementioned midwestern states are already more Republican than the country as a whole, which gives the Republicans a big advantage in the Electoral College. That can change quickly, though. If Texas were to become a blue state (a very big if), California, Texas, and New York alone would give the Democrats almost half the electoral votes they need for the White House. It would be very tough for the Republicans to overcome that kind of headwind.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43525120)



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Date: November 29th, 2021 8:45 PM
Author: Unholy macaca pit

GOP has got to either keep up Trump's gains with latinos, or double down on Platinum Planning it up for the Blacks.

Platinum Plan approach would be to solidify their hold over rustbelt states with large cities, hold on to the precarious North Carolina, and fix the Georgia situation.

Nevada/Arizona/Texas need the latino machismo approach. California too potentially. California remains a state that underperforms for Republicans largely just due to it lacking a competent statewide GOP party infrastructure.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43529952)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 10:39 AM
Author: Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk

Nevada has shifted redder relative to the country as a whole in every single presidential election since 2012.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43532339)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 1:44 PM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

LOL anyone who ever thought that War Machine actually knows something about politics should take note of this comment. I count myself as one of these people, but this is so dumb that I think his entire Trumpmo simping turn is pure flame.

https://newrepublic.com/article/163564/nevada-blue-wave

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43533706)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 1:56 PM
Author: Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk

There is literally no universe in which Texas flips before Nevada does.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43533783)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 3:24 PM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

Nevada added 15% to its population between 2010 and 2020 that was concurrent with an 11% DROP in white population and a massive shift from rural to urban. By election day 2022 Nevada will be majority minority. It's possible that the unions and casino vote fuck over the Dems in the 2022 cycle because they are mad about Covid, and the Dems lose the Gov and one senator as a result, but redistricting will already be locked in. The notion that Nevada goes for Trump (or DeSantis or whoever) in 2024 is utterly foolish and cannot be more at odds with the trends in demographics and politics in the state for the last decade.

https://www.nevadacurrent.com/2021/08/16/census-data-shows-communities-of-color-are-the-new-nevada/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43534257)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 3:37 PM
Author: Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk

Let's make a wager: I say R's do better in Nevada (relative to national partisan lean) than Dem's do in Texas in 2022. What say you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43534314)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 3:47 PM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

I say no bet because Texas is an order of magnitude bigger and the rate of change is not going to flip anything by 2024. Same bet in 2030, for sure, yes and I will win by 5+ points.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43534364)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 9:57 PM
Author: thriller depressive

Virginia, Georgia, Florida, Ohio and PA will all be strongly red. I'm admittedly not an electoral college masterman.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43524596)



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Date: November 28th, 2021 11:17 PM
Author: Dull Stag Film

Lol! No. Virginia is barely a swing state any more, and Georgia seems to be headed the same direction as Virginia. Pennsylvania and Florida seem to be trending slightly more conservative, but will probably be competitive for the foreseeable future. Ohio looks like it is basically a solid red state at this point.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43525067)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 1:59 PM
Author: Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk

If Georgia is heading toward D+10 margins in presidential elections while PA and FL remain competitive that means Dems will be winning consistently winning the national popular vote by around 8 or so points. The Republican party as we know it would cease to exist in that version of reality, just like the Dems remade themselves after 88.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43533796)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 3:20 PM
Author: Salmon Double Fault

Replace Robby Mook and the tacklebox full of buttplugs crew with campaign staff that was half way competent (see e.g. Biden's Obama retreads) in 2016 and you would have already seen this occur. You're being so weird ITT that it's obvious you think joining the chorus of Trumpmo denial is good for Bernie-style leftist econ politics, and you may be right about that, but craft your false flag flame more skillfully.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43534239)



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Date: November 30th, 2021 3:46 PM
Author: autistic greedy space

this thread really has gotten you worked up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43534360)



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Date: December 1st, 2021 1:31 AM
Author: ebony cruel-hearted institution

Virginia and Georgia will be safe blue.

Pennsylvania will be very very light blue.

Florida will be very very light red.

Ohio will be safe red.

The only state on that list that will be seriously contested long term is Pennsylvania.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43537319)



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Date: December 2nd, 2021 1:15 PM
Author: Mahogany Gaming Laptop Milk

Florida will be safe red before Georgia is safe blue.

This is just math. There's more ground for the GOP to gain in swing states with working class voters than there is for Dems to gain with college educated voters, because swings states are overwhelmingly working class. This is why there's an R advantage in the electoral college to begin with.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4974129&forum_id=2#43546098)