CHIEFS +1.5 is free money
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: January 24th, 2023 10:06 AM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,......,;:.,.:..:.,:,::,.
Not betting on Mahomes’ gimpy leg
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45834098) |
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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:09 AM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,......,;:.,.:..:.,:,::,.
Joe Burrow is a once in a generation talent and better than Mahomes. They also have more talent on offense and a better defense.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45834117) |
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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:12 PM
Author: .,..,..,.,,..,..,,,,,,,,..,...,.,.,.,
burrow = brady
mahomes = rodgers
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837021) |
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Date: January 24th, 2023 11:22 PM
Author: .,..,..,.,,..,..,,,,,,,,..,...,.,.,.,
lol at being compared to brady being insulting.
and mahomes is nothing like wilson wth are you talking about.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837764) |
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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:12 PM
Author: .,..,..,.,,..,..,,,,,,,,..,...,.,.,.,
they already lost a "revenge game" to the bengals this season with a healthy mahomes.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837016) |
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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:19 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,...,..,.,:,,:,.,...,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:,
(Probability masterman)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837043) |
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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:56 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,...,..,.,:,,:,.,...,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:,
Neither is baseball. Last place teams sweep first place teams all the time. Google “fooled by randomness”
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837676) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 8:43 AM
Author: .,.,.;.,...,..,.,:,,:,.,...,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:,
Tcr. This dude’s misunderstanding of statistics is breathtaking.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838660) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 10:14 AM Author: Guy Debord
GODDAMIT OF COURSE NOT!! THAT IS NOT THE POINT. Gunner says Chiefs are clearly the better team. I say, well they lost to Bengals three times in a row. Are YOU willing to bet that this is statistically meaningless? All I am saying is that a team, beating another team in football three times in a row is not statistically meaningless.
Let's take TCU vs. Georgia. Let's give TCU a ten percent chance of beating Georgia given the talent. Out of 100 games is it possible for TCU to win three in a row? Absolutely. However, the chances that Georgia wins three in a row is higher.
Now Bengals vs. Chiefs. Gunner says the Chiefs are better. OK. But they have played three times in a year and the Bengals have won all three. To me that hints at the Bengals being a better team. Maybe not. Maybe the Chiefs have a 60% chance of winning and we just happened upon three Bengals wins in a row. Not that out of the ordinary. Could be. But the chances are that the Bengals maybe are the better team, given ALL we know.
Again, this is football not random chance. Usain Bolt is gonna win against some sprinter from Ireland 99.9% of the time. The Celtics are gonna beat the Wizards three times in a row more times than the Wiz are gonna beat the Celtics. Etc.
So shut the FUCK UP math fags.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838992) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 1:03 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,...,..,.,:,,:,.,...,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:,
You don’t seem to understand that the results and advanced stats from dozens of games the teams have played over the past few years against teams other than each other, when combined, impact point spreads far more than the small number of head to head results (all 3 point games the chiefs led in the 4th quarter that were each a play away from going the opposite way). It shouldn’t surprise anyone that the chiefs are a healthy Mahomes away from being favored despite losing three close games in a row. TBH you sound really dumb ITT
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839877) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 1:38 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,...,..,.,:,,:,.,...,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:,
Of course they do, which is part of why the line has fallen significantly from last year’s title game. However, I also don’t think that if Kelce had held on to that fumbled ball in the most recent game that today’s line would be even a half point different. I check lines every single day but didn’t bother bringing them up because one, this whole thread is about lines and two, the lines are what they are precisely because of the reasons I indicated. You kicked off this whole sub thread by implying Team A can’t be better than Team B when Team B has beaten Team A three times in a row, which is a strong sign you aren’t very bright. You also stated that there is no data that would indicate the Chiefs are the stronger team, which implies you don’t think every other game the teams have played matters, which also indicates you aren’t very bright.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840070) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:58 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,...,..,.,:,,:,.,...,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:,
Nobody said it was meaningless, but your statements do imply it was determinative. You seem to have learned a lot from this thread, so I’m glad we could help.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840510) |
Date: January 24th, 2023 3:34 PM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,.
xo Bengals are going to the Superbowl
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835739) |
Date: January 24th, 2023 8:06 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,..,..,.,:.,:,..,..,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:, ( oppose bitch bois)
Chiefs will blow out the Bengals. Eagles will blow out the 49ers.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836989) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 12:24 AM
Author: .,.,.;.,..,..,.,:.,:,..,..,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:, ( oppose bitch bois)
I did. Not sure what happened there, but it won't happen again.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838068) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:29 PM
Author: .,.,.;.,..,..,.,:.,:,..,..,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:, ( oppose bitch bois)
Interesting theory, but the Eagles are much better than the 49ers.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840311) |
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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:34 AM
Author: .,..,.,,.,.,..,.,.,.,..,..,..,.,..,,.,.,.,.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838337) |
Date: January 24th, 2023 10:29 PM Author: Jax
I always bet for the whiter QB.
Easy money.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837584) |
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