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1/3 new voters registered in PA over last few weeks from Philly/Pittsburg

majority from Philly + Philly suburbs + Pittsburg.
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
They're gonna fortify the shit outta this election but isn't...
DC
  10/01/24
1/3 is just allegheny county and Philadelphia proper (i.e., ...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
You're not being very clear wtf is going on. What is "i...
DC
  10/01/24
The conclusion is that democratic parts of the state are gro...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
Was intrigued. Metro Philadelphia stats always include the N...
Charles Tyrwhitt Dad
  10/01/24
no because I was only including Philly and Pittsburgh, not t...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
These are the current numbers for those areas: Philly = 1...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
so 2/3 are from the rural trump country?
There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word
  10/01/24
no, about 1/3 from Philly + Alleghany county, another 25% or...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
Love to see a source for that. In the meantime, it looks lik...
MASE
  10/01/24
https://www.pa.gov/en/agencies/dos/resources/voting-and-elec...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
LMAO that you think these numbers are good for you 🔵 D...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
2024 vs 2020 (at this time) Dems down -414,296 requests ...
"""'""""''
  10/01/24
You know my reply triggered the Kamala-heads because the quo...
MASE
  10/01/24
dey maf
DC
  10/01/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 1st, 2024 4:53 PM
Author: """'""""''

majority from Philly + Philly suburbs + Pittsburg.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151192)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 4:56 PM
Author: DC

They're gonna fortify the shit outta this election but isn't 1/3 less than expected from those areas? Gotta be more than 1/3 the pop, no?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151203)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:01 PM
Author: """'""""''

1/3 is just allegheny county and Philadelphia proper (i.e., not the suburbs).

If you add in the core Philly suburbs it totals well over 50%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151223)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 1st, 2024 5:04 PM
Author: DC

You're not being very clear wtf is going on. What is "it" here? State your case and your goddamn conclusions JFC.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151232)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:16 PM
Author: """'""""''

The conclusion is that democratic parts of the state are growing faster in terms of new voters than GOP areas.

about 1/3 of the growth is in ultra-dem counties. Then if you add in Philly suburbs it's much larger.

For instance, last week numbers change:

Statewide

9/23 = 8,937,079 voters.

9/30 = 8,964,447 voters.

Change = 27,368

Philadelphia

9/23 = 1,074,452

9/30 = 1,080,140

Change = 5,688

Alleghany (Pittsburgh)

9/23 = 923,991

9/30 = 926,962

Change = 2,971

5,688 + 2,971 = 8,030 = 30% of 27,368

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151273)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:03 PM
Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad

Was intrigued. Metro Philadelphia stats always include the NJ side but we can likely safely assume 2/3s will be PA counties + city. Metro is six point something, so assume four million for PA-Philadelphia, plus 2.5 M for metro pittsburgh (surprisingly high but that's Mr. Google for you). So, yes, half the state's population in those two metros. Meaning 2/3s of the new regs are outside those two metro areas.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151229)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:19 PM
Author: """'""""''

no because I was only including Philly and Pittsburgh, not the Philly suburbs in the 1/3.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151282)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 1st, 2024 5:21 PM
Author: """'""""''

These are the current numbers for those areas:

Philly = 1,080,140

Pittsburgh = 926,962

Philly Suburbs (Montgomery, Chester, Delaware, Bucks) = 1,914,823

State = 9,054,837

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151294)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:00 PM
Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt)

so 2/3 are from the rural trump country?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151221)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 1st, 2024 5:02 PM
Author: """'""""''

no, about 1/3 from Philly + Alleghany county, another 25% or so from Philly suburbs. A portion from swingy areas, the rest rural. I will provide better estimates below.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151226)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:12 PM
Author: MASE

Love to see a source for that. In the meantime, it looks like PA mail-ins are far more red than they were in 2020 proportionally. Whoops!

https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1841138810995790316

https://x.com/maloney/status/1840839151307968832

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151256)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 1st, 2024 5:17 PM
Author: """'""""''

https://www.pa.gov/en/agencies/dos/resources/voting-and-elections-resources/voting-and-election-statistics.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151275)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:17 PM
Author: """'""""''

LMAO that you think these numbers are good for you

🔵 Democratic: 62.18% [-3.8]

🔴 Republican: 26.68% [+2.7]

✅ Net GOP shift: R+6.5

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151277)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:18 PM
Author: """'""""''

2024 vs 2020 (at this time)

Dems down -414,296 requests

GOP down -87,367 requests

That means that Trump is in a better spot to win by 326,920 requests.

did you ever consider that there was a fucking pandemic in 2020?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151280)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:19 PM
Author: MASE

You know my reply triggered the Kamala-heads because the quotemo triple posted 🤣

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151286)



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Date: October 1st, 2024 5:21 PM
Author: DC

dey maf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5604636&forum_id=2#48151293)