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what year will the last human die?
| Charcoal half-breed lettuce | 07/21/26 |
| controlling a virtual character on a computer | 07/21/26 |
| Charcoal half-breed lettuce | 07/22/26 |
| gerstern | 07/22/26 |
| Charcoal half-breed lettuce | 07/22/26 |
| gerstern | 07/22/26 |
| sticky doobsian death wish | 07/22/26 |
| Charcoal half-breed lettuce | 07/22/26 |
| sticky doobsian death wish | 07/22/26 |
| Racy yellow idea he suggested | 07/22/26 |
| sticky doobsian death wish | 07/22/26 |
| exciting goal in life | 07/22/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 21st, 2026 12:21 PM Author: Charcoal half-breed lettuce (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50014248) |
Date: July 21st, 2026 12:22 PM Author: controlling a virtual character on a computer 1945 (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50014252) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:03 AM Author: Charcoal half-breed lettuce oh. (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016476) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:04 AM Author: gerstern Never. (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016479) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:13 AM Author: Charcoal half-breed lettuce this is obviously wrong. even if we don’t kill ourselves or have some random, horrendous catastrophe befall the planet, in, say, a billion years there will still be no “humans” as our progeny will have evolved into something technically different. (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016491) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:49 PM Author: gerstern (lawyer) (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50018355) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:07 AM Author: sticky doobsian death wish I feel like if humans manage to survive to 2200 (i.e. become technologically advanced enough to solve climate change/resource limitations/post-AI society) then I'm not sure what would subsequently stop them from surviving multiple millennia (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016485) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:10 AM Author: Charcoal half-breed lettuce as power/technology increases, extinction-level event capabilities become further democratized. (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016488) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:17 AM Author: sticky doobsian death wish on the face of it this would appear to be true (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016499) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:22 AM Author: Racy yellow idea he suggested AI says it will be late 23rd Century: Based on a linear decline of the global Total Fertility Rate (TFR), humanity will go completely extinct in approximately 244 to 264 years, with the global birth rate hitting zero in exactly 143.75 years.1. Calculate annual TFR declineThe starting fertility rate is \(2.3\).It drops \(0.4\) every \(25\) years.\(\text{Decline\ Rate}=\frac{0.4}{25}=0.016\text{\ per\ year}\)2. Determine zero birth yearWe define TFR over time \(t\):\(T(t)=2.3-0.016t\)Set fertility to zero:\(2.3-0.016t=0\)\(t=\frac{2.3}{0.016}=143.75\text{\ years}\)Global births completely stop at \(143.75\) years.3. Add remaining human lifespanExtinction occurs when the last person dies.The maximum human lifespan is \(100\) to \(120\) years.Add this lifespan to the zero birth year:Lower estimate: \(143.75 + 100 = 243.75 \text{ years}\)Upper estimate: \(143.75 + 120 = 263.75 \text{ years}\)Final Projection ✅Under these specific parameters, humanity will go completely extinct in 243.75 to 263.75 years from now.If you want to refine this projection, let me know if you would like to:Switch to an exponential decay model.Factor in shifting global life expectancies.Analyze regional variations in demographic trends. (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016509) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:23 AM Author: sticky doobsian death wish declining fertility is great for the planet but terrible for capitalism (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50016512) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2026 10:53 PM Author: exciting goal in life this cannot be right (https://autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5884737&forum_id=2#50018365) |