\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Ukrainian military intelligence still doesn't realize Russia has begun an offens

They keep saying they expect Russia to begin an offensive in...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
To be fair, Huh? What are you talking about? The war is o...
deep beta brunch
  02/02/23
How angry does this make you? https://twitter.com/bonker6...
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
To be fair, I can't even respond because I just broke my ...
deep beta brunch
  02/02/23
Does that look like Russia is “winning” to you?
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
To be fair, I'm not good at this "war" stuff, b...
deep beta brunch
  02/02/23
you’re such a dishonest little shit
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
To be fair, Oh shit, guess I was wrong -- I guess it's ac...
deep beta brunch
  02/02/23
Russia walked in unopposed. Since then their line has only b...
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
Doesn’t it end in September
silver bearded library mother
  02/02/23
Oh wow what an offensive https://twitter.com/bonker69420...
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
It's fine to say that the offensive is failing, but that req...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
hmm then how do you know about it? You must have better sour...
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
This based solely on open source information.
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy tells Fox News Russian offensi...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
Why doesn’t Zelensky tell Ukrainian intel this?
Mauve supple stag film roommate
  02/02/23
I don't know. Ukrainian intelligence seems to think the offe...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
To be fair, Ukraine will take Moscow any day now at this ...
deep beta brunch
  02/02/23
...
Rose state
  02/05/23
That time lapse ended several months ago. Russia is advanci...
Rose state
  02/05/23
Political maps also matter less than topographical ones IMO....
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
that their tiny pink moves aren't characterized as an offens...
Chrome kitty cat party of the first part
  02/02/23
Everyone seems to agree that an offensive is happening excep...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
Holy shit even Zelensky is onto it. Only the Ukrainian milit...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
LMAO even after Zelensky says the offensive has already begu...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
Ukrainian Defense Minister still unaware. https://twitter...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
lol at the purple tinted glasses
Razzle-dazzle cobalt temple
  02/02/23
Money quote: “We think that, given that they live b...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
That's light from a screen reflecting off his glasses. The l...
trip salmon water buffalo
  02/02/23
He was just fired over this.
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
WSJ still in the dark: Ukraine Braces for Major Russian...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/02/23
...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
Western countries have difficulty responding to a Chinese we...
Rose state
  02/05/23
The only difficulty was in the decisionmaking process. I wil...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
China would have taken down a similar balloon within 20 minu...
Rose state
  02/05/23
I read a very WIDE range of estimates on its altitude, from ...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
we're tough enough to wage a proxy war against russia and ki...
Chrome kitty cat party of the first part
  02/05/23
Are you not the destitute drug addicted homosexual criminal ...
Rose state
  02/05/23
No actual toughness has been displayed by the USA in connect...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
Ukrainecucks: we think Russia has additional capabilities it...
Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot
  02/05/23
Shoulda listened to NSAM
Jared Baumeister
  07/30/26
...
Jared Baumeister
  07/31/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

They keep saying they expect Russia to begin an offensive in the next few weeks, oblivious to the fact that the offensive began weeks ago, after Russia took Soledar, and before the tank deal was even announced. These are not smart people.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878714)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: deep beta brunch

To be fair,

Huh? What are you talking about? The war is over, Russia lost (badly, btw). Do you even read XO? Pumos have been explaining this for months now.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878716)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:19 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

How angry does this make you?

https://twitter.com/bonker69420/status/1618215700270821385?s=46&t=Ly3dtgE13pz3d-F4xmAc4w

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878718)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:22 PM
Author: deep beta brunch

To be fair,

I can't even respond because I just broke my laptop slamming it shut after I watched that

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878728)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:25 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

Does that look like Russia is “winning” to you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878738)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:26 PM
Author: deep beta brunch

To be fair,

I'm not good at this "war" stuff, but which country is currently militarily occupying large parts of which country, again? I feel like as a general rule, usually the country that is being militarily occupied by the other country is probably the country that isn't doing super duper good, but again don't quote me on that I'm not a "war" guy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878743)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:28 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

you’re such a dishonest little shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878747)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:29 PM
Author: deep beta brunch

To be fair,

Oh shit, guess I was wrong -- I guess it's actually usually the country that is being militarily occupied by an invading force which is the country that is winning the war. The more you know!

Also you don't seem anxious to respond to my poast below where I ask why this gif that ends five months ago is supposed to be a devastating rebuttal re the current state of play in Ukraine c. February 2023, but I'll assume that's just another thing I don't "get" because I'm "retarded" and "not really a war guy."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878754)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:46 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

Russia walked in unopposed. Since then their line has only been moving backwards. You know this you just don’t like what it means.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878826)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:53 PM
Author: silver bearded library mother

Doesn’t it end in September

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878845)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:19 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

Oh wow what an offensive

https://twitter.com/bonker69420/status/1618215700270821385?s=46&t=Ly3dtgE13pz3d-F4xmAc4w

Seems like they’re moving in the wrong direction

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878717)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:20 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

It's fine to say that the offensive is failing, but that requires you to admit that one has already begun. Ukraine's military leadership seems ignorant about this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878721)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:25 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

hmm then how do you know about it? You must have better sources than they do

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878740)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:29 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

This based solely on open source information.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878752)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:35 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy tells Fox News Russian offensive has already started

https://www.foxnews.com/world/ukrainian-president-zelenskyy-tells-fox-news-russian-offensive-already-started?intcmp=tw_fnc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878776)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:37 PM
Author: Mauve supple stag film roommate

Why doesn’t Zelensky tell Ukrainian intel this?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878786)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:42 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

I don't know. Ukrainian intelligence seems to think the offensive hasn't happened yet. This was tweeted <30 minutes ago, after Zelensky spoke about it.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1621272023975469058?t=jCUmXXYc-L_L0YYDRzhjBg&s=19



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878803)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:24 PM
Author: deep beta brunch

To be fair,

Ukraine will take Moscow any day now at this rate!

Also IMO this timelapse gif that ends in September 2022 is a devastating response to the OP of this thread, which is concerning a Russian counteroffensive taking place in February 2023

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878734)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:09 PM
Author: Rose state



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890900)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:09 PM
Author: Rose state

That time lapse ended several months ago. Russia is advancing now.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890898)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Political maps also matter less than topographical ones IMO. Russia needs to occupy high ground before it maeks it to the plains east of Kiev.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890924)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:28 PM
Author: Chrome kitty cat party of the first part

that their tiny pink moves aren't characterized as an offensive says more about russia than ukraine. *houses 600 conscripts next to an ammo depot, lets them twerk on tiktok*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878749)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:30 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Everyone seems to agree that an offensive is happening except the Ukrainian military.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878760)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:31 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Holy shit even Zelensky is onto it. Only the Ukrainian military seems unaware.

https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/1621250860822003713?t=n5DVLuOLrE43qT5Qr5lxfg&s=19

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878767)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:39 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

LMAO even after Zelensky says the offensive has already begun, Ukraine intelligence all unaware.

https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1621272023975469058?t=jCUmXXYc-L_L0YYDRzhjBg&s=19

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878789)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:45 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Ukrainian Defense Minister still unaware.

https://twitter.com/NewVoiceUkraine/status/1621252869935534084?t=gHVZhozUVHWegpDszKp7ig&s=19

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878820)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 5:46 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle cobalt temple

lol at the purple tinted glasses

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878824)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 6:00 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Money quote:

“We think that, given that they live by symbols, they may try something around Feb. 24… We don’t underestimate our enemy.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878878)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 6:19 PM
Author: trip salmon water buffalo

That's light from a screen reflecting off his glasses. The lenses are clear, not purple

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878952)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 9:31 AM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

He was just fired over this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45889327)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:07 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890895)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2023 6:04 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

WSJ still in the dark:

Ukraine Braces for Major Russian Offensive

Leaders in Kyiv say Moscow is preparing attacks beyond contested Bakhmut region

Ukrainian servicemen taking part in military drills in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine.

Ukrainian servicemen taking part in military drills in the Kharkiv region of Ukraine. VITALII HNIDYI/REUTERS

By Jared MalsinFollow

Updated Feb. 1, 2023 6:12 pm ET

SAVE

SHARE

TEXT

511

Russia is preparing to launch a major new offensive against Ukraine in the coming weeks, a top Ukrainian security official said, adding to mounting concerns in Kyiv and the West that the Kremlin is preparing a renewed push to seize large areas of the country.

“Russia is preparing for maximum escalation,” said Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, in an interview with Sky News published online early Wednesday local time. “It is gathering everything possible, doing drills and training.”



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45878895)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:07 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890894)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:11 PM
Author: Rose state

Western countries have difficulty responding to a Chinese weather balloon. They act as though they can stop Taiwan from reunification with China. Their failure in Ukraine is not surprising.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890905)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:16 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

The only difficulty was in the decisionmaking process. I will say the one thing we haven't seen so far is what the USAF and Navy can do, particularly the USAF. We now know they can take down these balloons, but maybe that was never in doubt. For several days we were forced to speculate because Biden wouldn't authorize USAF to take that step.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890916)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:17 PM
Author: Rose state

China would have taken down a similar balloon within 20 minutes with little difficulty. These balloons are cheap weather balloons.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890923)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 6:02 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

I read a very WIDE range of estimates on its altitude, from as low as 5k feet to 150k feet. There's a big difference there, not just in terms of anyone's ability to hit a target that size at that range, but in also in terms of the cost/benefit analysis. Also, at this point I don't trust anyone who claims they know how high it was. Even if every media outlet agreed today that it was at 60k feet, that would not be enough to convince me.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45891041)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:17 PM
Author: Chrome kitty cat party of the first part

we're tough enough to wage a proxy war against russia and kill 200,000 commies in less than a year

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890922)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 5:18 PM
Author: Rose state

Are you not the destitute drug addicted homosexual criminal of this board?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45890926)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 6:05 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

No actual toughness has been displayed by the USA in connection with that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45891046)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 5th, 2023 6:25 PM
Author: Bull Headed Roast Beef Idiot

Ukrainecucks: we think Russia has additional capabilities it hasn't shown yet. We think they haven't taken off the gloves yet:

https://twitter.com/powerfultakes/status/1622371518356373506

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#45891109)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 30th, 2026 10:58 PM
Author: Jared Baumeister

Shoulda listened to NSAM

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#50035818)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 31st, 2026 3:33 PM
Author: Jared Baumeister



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5282922&forum_id=2#50037216)