“Given what we know about X, it seems clear that Y,” where “X” is something as immense and vague and infinitely debatable as “human nature” and “Y” is some theoretically conceivable but by no means logically necessary outcome. the confidence of these scifi-polisci dorks in their navel-gazing ruminations is astounding.
1. i agree with this, but don’t know that it’s certain.
2. i agree with this, and have a hard time taking any counterarguments seriously.
3. i generally agree with this, but don’t know that i am qualified to opine on the likelihood of it being correct.
regardless, i am not saying ai doomers are incorrect in their underlying point, nor that raising that point even if it were to bear out as incorrect is foolish. i am saying the grandiosity and eminent self-assuredness of the particulars of their screeds are prima facie absurd and ultimately do a great disservice to their otherwise valuable cause.